失业呆滞、劳动力市场结构性改革与货币政策:一个模拟分析

发布时间：2018-04-13 04:09

本文选题：失业呆滞 + 结构性改革　；参考：《华中科技大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年04期

【摘要】：基于包含内生失业呆滞的NK-DSGE模型,考察旨在降低失业呆滞程度的劳动力市场结构性改革的动态效应。研究发现,在以通货膨胀与产出缺口为目标的基准货币政策下,旨在降低失业呆滞程度的劳动力市场结构性改革呈现出"以短期疼痛换取长期收益"的特征。在此基础上,本文进一步考察在推行降低失业呆滞程度的劳动力市场结构性改革过程中的配套性货币政策。结果表明,相对于单一的Evans规则与旨在降低失业呆滞程度的劳动力市场结构性改革而言,二者的结合对于缓解失业更为有效。因此,推行劳动力市场结构性改革以降低失业呆滞程度,同时以Evans规则作为配套,有助于有效地缓解当前我国的失业问题。
[Abstract]:Based on the NK-DSGE model including endogenous unemployment stagnation, the dynamic effects of structural reform of labor market aimed at reducing the degree of unemployment stagnation are investigated.The study found that under the benchmark monetary policy aimed at inflation and output gap, the structural reform of the labor market aimed at reducing the degree of unemployment lacklustre shows the feature of "short-term pain for long-term gains".On this basis, this paper further examines the monetary policy in the process of structural reform of the labor market to reduce the degree of unemployment stagnation.The results show that the combination of the two rules is more effective than the single Evans rule and the structural reform of the labor market aimed at reducing the degree of unemployment stagnation.Therefore, carrying out the structural reform of the labor market to reduce the degree of unemployment stagnation, and taking the Evans rules as a complete set, will help to effectively alleviate the unemployment problem in our country at present.
【作者单位】：中共广东省委党校经济学教研部;
【基金】：广东省哲学社会科学“十二五”规划学科共建项目“劳动力市场结构性改革与中国经济波动研究——基于动态新凯恩斯主义的视角”(GD14XYJ02)
【分类号】：F224;F249.2;F822.0

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