供给侧结构性改革中产能、金融支持与经济波动关系研究

发布时间：2018-04-27 13:39

本文选题：供给侧结构性改革 + 产能　；参考：《产业经济研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：构建了包含家庭、厂商、商业银行和中央银行四部门的DSGE模型,设置了企业生产行为、产能利用水平、商业银行金融支持行为和经济波动等变量,对我国企业产能水平和经济波动的相关问题进行了研究。创新之处在于:在研究中,一是考虑了跨期变量之间的相互作用关系,二是增加了金融支持要素考察产能水平与经济波动的关联。得到以下结论:技术进步将为产业转型升级提供原始动力;商业银行的金融支持行为能够影响企业产出,提高经济增长水平;供给侧结构性改革背景下的产业转型升级在初期将经过沉淀积累过程,产能水平和产出在沉淀积累过程中呈下降趋势;供给结构失衡条件下的技术进步将引发过剩产能和经济失调;在没有新技术和产业调整的初始阶段,盲目增加信贷供给,会引发产能过剩;货币政策调控只能增加短期产出水平。
[Abstract]:The DSGE model of four departments, including family, manufacturer, commercial bank and central bank, is constructed. The production behavior, capacity utilization level, financial support behavior and economic fluctuation of commercial banks are set up, and the related problems of production level and economic fluctuation in Chinese enterprises are studied. The innovation lies in the study, one is consideration The relationship between intertemporal variables, two is the increase of financial support factors and the relationship between productivity level and economic fluctuation. The following conclusions are drawn: technological progress will provide the original motive force for industrial transformation and upgrading; the financial support behavior of commercial banks can affect the production of enterprises, improve the level of economic growth, and the structural change of the supply side. The industrial transformation and upgrading under the background of leather will be accumulated during the initial period of precipitation, the level of productivity and output are declining in the process of precipitation accumulation, and the technological progress under the unbalance of supply structure will lead to excess capacity and economic maladjustment. In the initial stage of no new technology and industrial adjustment, the blind increase of the supply of credit will lead to production capacity. Surplus; monetary policy regulation can only increase short-term output level.

【作者单位】：南京理工大学经济管理学院;中国人民银行南京分行营业管理部;University
【基金】：国家社会科学基金一般项目(16BGL140)
【分类号】：F124.8;F832

【相似文献】