我国资本外逃的现状分析及对策研究

发布时间：2018-11-25 13:59

【摘要】：资本外逃是发展中国家在其经济转型过程中所普遍遇到的一个问题。这一问题对于发展中国家的经济发展、国家战略的推进以及币种结构的变化等均会产生较为深刻的影响。对于我国这样一个资本管制较为严格的国家来说,当国内出现大规模资本外逃时,国家的外汇储备、人民币汇率的走势以及相关资产的价格也将会受到影响,同时资本外逃问题能否被解决也关系到我国经济能否健康平稳的发展。通过测算我国资本外逃的规模可以更好地了解我国当前的经济状况,并为解决这一问题提出相应的对策等。本文在对我国资本外逃的规模进行测算时,既了解和借鉴了国内众多学者对该问题进行研究时所采用的研究方法和研究思路,又具体分析了我国资本外逃的特点,这是因为在资本账户管制下的资本流动与市场经济条件下的资本流动是存在明显差异的,所以要具体问题具体分析,并最终找出适合测算我国资本外逃规模的方法,即直接测算法。该方法在一定程度上能较好地弥补因我国资本外逃本身所具有的隐蔽性而造成的部分数据无法查找到的不足,运用该方法还可以使人们更加直观地看出我国资本外逃的规模,并在此基础上来分析我国当前资本外逃的现状、原因、影响以及对策。在研究内容上,本文主要是通过对比和分析我国不同时间段内资本外逃的相关数据来纵向剖析我国资本外逃的状况,从中可看出我国资本外逃的规模并不是一成不变的,而是随着国内外的经济形势和我国国际收支表中具体项目的变化而发生相应的变化。最后,本文将落脚点放在了我国当前的资本外逃上,通过选取多个角度来深入分析我国资本外逃产生的原因,然后运用定量分析的方法来对我国资本外逃所产生的影响进行研究与论述,并针对我国的具体情况提出了相应的对策,即我们既要做到对资本外逃进行严格管制,又要看到在进行管制时由于管制不当所产生的一系列问题,从而做到有的放矢,有效地解决这一问题。
[Abstract]:Capital flight is a common problem in the process of economic transition in developing countries. This problem will have a profound impact on the economic development of developing countries, the promotion of national strategy and the change of currency structure. For a country such as China, where capital controls are relatively strict, when there is a large-scale domestic capital flight, the country's foreign exchange reserves, the trend of the RMB exchange rate and the prices of related assets will also be affected. At the same time, whether the problem of capital flight can be solved is also related to the healthy and stable development of our economy. By measuring the scale of capital flight in China, we can better understand the current economic situation of our country, and put forward corresponding countermeasures to solve this problem. When we measure the scale of capital flight in China, this paper not only understands and draws lessons from the research methods and ideas adopted by many domestic scholars, but also analyzes the characteristics of capital flight in China. This is because there are obvious differences between capital flows under capital account control and those under market economy, so we should analyze the specific problems in detail and finally find out a suitable method for measuring the scale of capital flight in China. That is, the direct measurement method. To a certain extent, this method can make up for the deficiency caused by the concealment of capital flight itself, which can not be found by using this method, and it can also make people see the scale of capital flight more intuitively. On this basis, this paper analyzes the current situation, causes, effects and countermeasures of capital flight in China. In the research content, this article mainly through the contrast and the analysis our country different time period capital flight related data to analyze our country capital flight situation vertically, from which can see our country capital flight scale is not invariable. But with the economic situation at home and abroad and the changes of specific items in China's balance of payments account, corresponding changes have taken place. Finally, this paper puts its foothold on the current capital flight of our country, and analyzes the causes of the capital flight through selecting several angles. Then we use the method of quantitative analysis to study and discuss the influence of capital flight in our country, and put forward the corresponding countermeasures according to the specific situation of our country, that is, we should strictly control the capital flight. We should also see a series of problems caused by improper control, so as to solve this problem effectively.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F832.6

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