制造业实际有效汇率对中美价值链嵌入度的影响研究

发布时间：2018-12-21 21:07

【摘要】：随着价值链发展的不断深入,一国贸易中的国内增加值在不断影响着名义有效汇率,更影响了实际有效汇率。文章基于全球价值链视角,立足于中美两国的制造业贸易增加值数据,测算了中美两国整体制造业及分行业的实际有效汇率指数,发现了两国整体制造业实际有效汇率指数的共同特点以及分行业实际有效汇率指数的差异性。同时,文章在测算了价值链嵌入度数据的基础上,通过构造两国实际有效汇率指数、价值链嵌入度的相关面板数据,经过不同约束条件的方法估计后,发现两国实际有效汇率指数对各自价值链嵌入度的影响作用有些差异;最后,文章依据数据估计的结果,提出了相关的建议。
[Abstract]:With the development of the value chain, the domestic value added in a country's trade is constantly influencing the nominal effective exchange rate and the actual effective exchange rate. Based on the value added data of manufacturing industry in China and the United States, this paper calculates the real effective exchange rate index of the manufacturing industry in China and the United States as a whole from the perspective of global value chain. The common characteristics of the real effective exchange rate index and the difference of the real effective exchange rate index between the two countries are found. At the same time, on the basis of calculating the data of value chain embeddedness, by constructing the actual effective exchange rate index and the relevant panel data of the value chain embeddedness, the paper estimates the value chain embeddedness with different constraints. It is found that there are some differences in the effect of the real effective exchange rate index between the two countries on their value chain embeddedness. Finally, according to the result of data estimation, the paper puts forward the relevant suggestions.
【作者单位】：南京大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F832.6

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