金融发展对中国城镇化发展的空间溢出效应检验

发布时间：2019-01-25 09:10

【摘要】：以全国及31个省份1993~2015年的金融发展为解释变量,以我国各省份城镇化发展水平为被解释变量,实证分析在经济发展水平、城乡收入差距、出口依存度、第二产业比重、第三产业比重、人力资本等控制变量的作用下金融发展对我国城镇化发展水平的动态溢出效应,结果表明:无论是从全国还是各省域层面而言,金融发展均对我国的城镇化发展水平有较显著的空间溢出效应,即:各省域自身的金融发展在促进本省城镇化发展的同时,也影响着邻接省份的城镇化发展。同时,金融发展的空间溢出效应也一定程度上影响了我国各省域间城镇化的关系,故今后我国城镇发展中应充分重视本省金融发展水平、城乡收入差距、出口依存度等要素的作用,并充分考虑邻近省域相关政策变化对本省城镇化发展水平的影响。
[Abstract]:Taking the financial development of the whole country and 31 provinces from 1993 to 2015 as the explanatory variable and the urbanization level of the provinces in China as the explanatory variable, this paper empirically analyzes the economic development level, the income gap between urban and rural areas, the degree of dependence on exports, and the proportion of the secondary industry. The dynamic spillover effect of financial development on China's urbanization level under the influence of controlling variables such as the proportion of tertiary industry and human capital, the results show that: from the national or provincial level, Financial development has a significant spatial spillover effect on the level of urbanization in China, that is, the financial development of the provinces themselves not only promotes the development of urbanization in their own province, but also affects the urbanization development of neighboring provinces. At the same time, the spatial spillover effect of financial development also affects the relationship of urbanization among different provinces in China to a certain extent, so we should pay full attention to the level of financial development and the income gap between urban and rural areas in the future. The effect of export dependence and other factors on the urbanization level of the province is also considered.
【作者单位】：东北财经大学金融学院;
【分类号】：F299.21;F832

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