技术标准化对技术创新、经济增长影响的实证研究及共演分析

发布时间：2018-01-03 16:43

本文关键词：技术标准化对技术创新、经济增长影响的实证研究及共演分析　出处：《西北工业大学》2016年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着知识和技术成为决定性生产要素,经济增长越来越依赖于技术创新和知识产权,技术标准化作为技术的一种表现形式和竞争手段,成为促进经济增长、改变经济结构的重要动力。技术标准化通过给定一个全面系统的框架,使得杂乱无序的技术创新能够以系统的方式共同发挥作用,推动经济增长。考虑我国特殊的技术条件和现实的技术环境,深层次挖掘技术标准化的经济规律,对于实现我国技术和标准的赶超具有重要的意义。然而对于技术标准化的经济学体系,目前尚缺乏脉络清晰的较为宏观的研究成果,鉴于此,本文结合我国最新的统计数据,主要运用计量经济学、统计分析、系统动力学等研究方法,实证研究了技术标准化对技术创新、经济增长的影响,在此基础上进一步了研究三者动态视角下的共生演化过程及耦合关系,并依据研究结论提出相应的对策建议。论文的主要工作及创新点如下:1.技术标准化与技术创新交互影响的实证研究。结合1991-2013年的相关数据,运用Johansen协整检验、Granger因果关系检验等实证方法分析了技术标准化与技术创新的交互影响。研究表明:技术标准化与技术创新存在着长期动态均衡关系,两者间已经形成互动反馈机制,技术创新的衡量指标中研发经费和专利申请量对标准存量有着显著影响,技术标准化也对技术创新具有显著的促进作用。技术标准化为创新成果向生产力的有效转化提供助力,技术创新对技术标准的水平起着决定性作用,技术标准化与技术创新交互作用,存在着高度关联性。2.技术创新对经济增长影响的实证研究。结合2009-2013年中国27个省、市的面板数据,基于技术标准化视角,采用结构方程模型深入探讨了技术创新如何对经济增长产生影响。研究表明:技术创新对经济增长具有显著的促进作用,其中专利申请和研发投入对经济增长均为正向影响,但研发投入的影响程度更大;同时技术创新各影响因素和衡量指标对经济增长均有正向影响,但贡献存在显著差异,其中研发经费和研发人员数对经济增长的影响程度较大。技术创新与技术标准化存在互动关系,同时也影响着经济增长,可以推断技术创新在技术标准化对经济增长的影响路径上起到一定的传导性作用。3.技术标准化对经济增长影响的实证研究。结合1985-2013年的相关数据,采用格兰杰检验、回归分析等实证方法分析了技术标准化对经济增长的影响。研究表明:技术标准化与经济增长之间存在着较为显著的相关关系与格兰杰因果关系,技术标准化对经济增长的正向影响具有滞后性,只有随着标准的不断普及和扩散,标准才可能进一步作用于技术创新、提高劳动生产率,从而促进经济增长;同时经济增长也能一定程度上促进技术标准化。依据回归模型,技术标准化是经济增长的一个必要条件,是推动经济增长的动力和手段,并与经济增长形成了良性的互动和循环。4.技术标准化、技术创新与经济增长的共演分析。以技术标准化对技术创新与经济增长的影响为理论框架,运用系统动力学方法构建技术标准化、技术创新与经济增长的共演模型,研究动态视角下三者的共生演化过程。研究表明:技术标准化、技术创新与经济增长的共生演化是系统在内部、外部动力与制约因素的综合作用下按照一定规律进行的演化过程,其行为模式取决于内部的动态结构与反馈机制;技术标准化、技术创新与经济增长的共演过程包涵:技术标准化系统与技术创新系统自身随时间的演化过程、技术标准化系统与技术创新系统交互演化过程、技术标准化系统与技术创新系统共同促进经济增长的演化过程,共演过程与时间高度相关,具有强纵向性,是一个动态交互的循环过程。在技术标准化、技术创新与经济增长的演化过程中,任何内外部影响因素的变动,都会对三者的演化趋势产生严重影响。
[Abstract]:With the knowledge and technology has become the decisive factor of production, economic growth increasingly depends on technological innovation and intellectual property, technology standardization as a form and means of competition, become an important driving force to promote economic growth, the change of economic structure. The technology standardization framework given by a comprehensive system of technological innovation, made out of order. Can play a role in a systematic way, to promote economic growth. Considering the environment of our country special technical conditions and the reality of the economic law of deep mining technology standards, has important significance for our country to catch up with the implementation of technology and standards. However, the economics of technical standard system, there is still a lack of clear the more macro research results, in view of this, according to the latest statistics in China, mainly using econometrics, statistical analysis, system Dynamic research methods, empirical research on the technology standardization of technological innovation, the impact of economic growth, on the basis of further research from the perspective of the three dynamic symbiotic evolution and coupling relationship, according to the research conclusions, puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions. The main work and innovations are as follows: An Empirical Study of 1. technical standards with technology innovation interaction. Combined with the relevant data of 1991-2013, using Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality test and empirical methods to analyze the influence of interactive technology standardization and innovation. The research shows that the technology standardization and innovation, there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between the two, has formed interactive feedback mechanism that measure of technology innovation in the R & D funding and the amount of patent application has a significant impact on the stock standard, standardization of technology innovation has significant Promote the standardization of innovation. The technology provides power to the effective transformation of productivity, technological innovation level of technical standards play a decisive role in technical standards and the interactive role of technology innovation, there is an empirical study on technology innovation of high relevance to the economic growth effect of.2. combined with 2009-2013. 27 years China Province, panel data the technical standard based on the perspective of using structural equation model discussed how technological innovation influence the economic growth. The study shows that technological innovation has significant positive effect on economic growth, including patent application and R & D investment on economic growth have a positive impact, but the impact of the larger R & D investment; at the same time factors the influence of technological innovation and the index of economic growth has a positive impact, but there are significant differences in the contribution of R & D and R & D personnel number on the The economic impact growth greatly. Technological innovation and technology standardization interaction, but also affects the economic growth, technological innovation can be inferred in the standardization of technology's impact on economic growth path plays a role of.3. conductive certain technical standards of empirical research on the impact of economic growth. According to the relevant data of 1985-2013. The use of Grainger test, regression analysis and other empirical methods to analyze the technology standardization and the impact on economic growth. The study shows that the relationship with Grainger is causal between technical standards and economic growth, technology standardization and positive influence on economic growth has lagged behind, only with the standard and popularization of the diffusion. The standard may further influence on technological innovation, improve labor productivity, thereby promoting economic growth; and economic growth to a certain extent To promote the standardization of technology. Based on the regression model, technology standardization is a necessary condition for economic growth, is to promote economic growth and means, and formed a benign interaction and circulating.4. technology standardization and analysis of economic growth, technological innovation and economic growth together. The technology standardization impact on technological innovation and economic growth is the theoretical framework, the construction technology standard by using the method of system dynamics model of technological innovation, together with economic growth, symbiotic evolution process of the dynamic perspective of the three. The study shows that the standardization of technology, technological innovation and economic growth co evolution is the system in the internal evolution process in accordance with the laws of certain comprehensive the action of external power and restriction factors, dynamic structure mode of its action depends on the internal feedback mechanism; technology standardization, technological innovation and economic growth together The process includes: technology standardization system and technology innovation system's time evolution process, interactive evolution technology standardization system and technology innovation system, the evolution of technology standardization system and technology innovation system to promote economic growth, highly relevant process and time together, with strong vertical, is a circulating process dynamic interaction. In the evolution process of technology standardization, technological innovation and economic growth, any changes in internal and external factors, will affect the evolution trend of the three.

【学位授予单位】：西北工业大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F124.3

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