广东省城市化时空演变与经济发展的耦合研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 04:04

本文关键词：广东省城市化时空演变与经济发展的耦合研究　出处：《华南理工大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：城市化是我国长期经济发展的动力,大量农业人口来到城市,城市空间范围扩大;同时第二第三产业得到发展,经济增长迅速,社会文化建设日益完善。2015年,中国经济增速放缓,在机遇与挑战并存的背景下寻求新的发展动力成为了经济学家们关注的问题。广东省是中国改革开放的试点与前沿,且省内的区域经济发展差异大,是中国经济蓝图的一个缩影。研究广东省的城市化水平以及经济发展水平的时空演变,两者的耦合关系,结合城市化效率研究并给出建议是本文选题要解决的问题。本文基于区域经济学、经济地理学、空间经济学、计量经济学的相关理论,运用熵值法、均方差赋权法深入研究1985-2014年广东省城市化水平与经济发展水平时空演变,借助耦合协调度研究两者相关性,采用数据包络法研究城市化效率。得出以下结论:(1)从人口、经济、空间、社会和环境五个维度测算城市化水平,广东省的空间布局呈现出珠三角地区远高于周边城市,各市的城市化质量差异显著现象;形成以广州和深圳为双中心的结构,广州的溢出效应弱于深圳;人口的增加带来空间的扩张,而经济发展与社会进步相互推进。(2)从经济规模、经济质量和经济结构三个维度测算经济发展水平,研究城市化与经济发展的耦合,随着工业化水平提高,两者耦合呈现倒“U”型曲线;从可持续发展潜力出发,广东省内经济发展系统的评价结果表明了显著的区域不均衡,出现了大部分城市的经济发展落后于城市化水平的情况,说明广东省在发展进程中大多属于粗放式增长,且城市之间的经济溢出作用不大。(3)在对广东省21个城市进行效率研究时可以发现,随着时间推移,越来越多城市达到DEA有效,两翼与山区的部分不发达城市综合效率为1或者接近1反映其城市化投入不足,加大其城市建设,鼓励地区农业人口转移到城市;在考虑环境污染这一负产出之后,除珠海以外的省内其他城市的环境城市化效率相较于传统城市化效率有所下降;珠三角地区部分城市存在着要素投入冗余和科技进步无效的问题。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the driving force of our country's long-term economic development, a large number of agricultural people come to the city, the urban space scope expands; At the same time, the second tertiary industry has been developed, economic growth has been rapid, social and cultural construction is increasingly perfect. In 2015, China's economic growth rate slowed down. Under the background of co-existence of opportunities and challenges, it has become a problem that economists pay attention to. Guangdong Province is the pilot and front line of China's reform and opening up, and the regional economic development within the province is different. It is a microcosm of China's economic blueprint. This paper studies the spatial and temporal evolution of the urbanization level and economic development level of Guangdong Province, and the coupling relationship between the two. Based on the relevant theories of regional economics, economic geography, spatial economics and econometrics, entropy method is used in this paper. The mean-variance weighting method is used to study the temporal and spatial evolution of urbanization level and economic development level in Guangdong Province from 1985 to 2014, and the correlation between them is studied with the aid of coupling and coordination degree. Using data envelopment method to study urbanization efficiency. The following conclusion is drawn: 1) the urbanization level is measured from five dimensions: population, economy, space, society and environment. The spatial distribution of Guangdong Province shows that the Pearl River Delta region is far higher than the surrounding cities, and the quality of urbanization in each city is significantly different. With Guangzhou and Shenzhen as the double centers, the spillover effect of Guangzhou is weaker than that of Shenzhen. The increase of population leads to the expansion of space, while economic development and social progress promote each other. 2) the level of economic development is measured from the three dimensions of economic scale, economic quality and economic structure. The paper studies the coupling between urbanization and economic development. With the development of industrialization, the coupling of urbanization and economic development presents an inverted "U" curve. Based on the potential of sustainable development, the evaluation results of the economic development system in Guangdong Province show that there is a significant regional imbalance, and the economic development of most cities lags behind the level of urbanization. It shows that most of Guangdong Province belongs to extensive growth in the process of development, and the economic spillover effect between cities is not significant.) in the study of the efficiency of 21 cities in Guangdong Province, it can be found that, with the passage of time. More and more cities reach DEA efficiency. The comprehensive efficiency of some undeveloped cities in both wings and mountain areas is 1 or close to 1, which reflects the insufficient investment in urbanization and the increase of urban construction. Encourage the transfer of local agricultural population to cities; After considering the negative output of environmental pollution, the environmental urbanization efficiency of other cities except Zhuhai is lower than that of traditional urbanization. Some cities in the Pearl River Delta region have the problems of redundant input of elements and ineffective scientific and technological progress.
【学位授予单位】：华南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F299.27;F127

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