我国宏观经济波动对居民收入差距影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 18:11

本文关键词：我国宏观经济波动对居民收入差距影响的实证研究　出处：《安徽财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：宏观经济波动和居民的收入分配始终是经济学中的重要议题。近年来,国外越来越多的学者已经开始研究宏观经济波动与居民收入不平等之间的联系,并得出了不同的结论。然而迄今为止国内很少有文献研究我国经济波动对居民收入差距的影响。目前,我国经济运行趋势平稳,但宏观波动始终存在,并且居民间的收入差距不断扩大,政府为此提出了一系列的扶贫政策,缩小收入差距是我国目前迫切需要解决的问题,在此背景下,本文的研究可为政府决策提供相应的参考。为了探明宏观经济波动对居民收入差距的影响,并找到可能存在的缓解因素,本文首先梳理了国内外关于宏观经济波动对居民收入差距影响的相关理论以及实证研究文献,然后讨论了宏观经济波动和居民收入差距的测度指标和方法,并结合我国以及各地区的2001-2014年的统计数据对相关指标进行了描述性统计,全面分析了我国和各地区的宏观经济波动现状以及各层次居民收入差距的发展现状。运用省际面板数据,从实证的角度研究了我国宏观经济波动对城镇居民内部、农村居民内部以及城乡居民之间等不同层次居民收入差距的影响,以及处于不同周期阶段的宏观经济波动对各层次居民收入差距影响的不同,并进一步比较了东部和中西部地区的宏观经济波动对居民收入分配作用的差异,最后,运用PMG估计方法讨论了宏观经济波动对不同区域各层次居民收入分配的长期作用。根据研究结论,文章提出了相应的政策建议。本文主要研究结果表明:处于不同周期阶段的宏观经济波动对不同层次的居民收入差距的影响存在不对称性,并且在东部和中西部的影响存在明显的区域差异。特别地,本文研究发现,就长期而言,处于繁荣期的宏观经济波动对东部地区各层次居民收入差距扩大都有显著的影响,而处于衰退期的宏观经济波动则对中西部地区城乡之间居民收入差距有显著的长期影响。因此,根据实证研究结论,本文认为在经济繁荣期,政府要着重防止东部地区各层次居民收入差距的扩大,而在经济衰退期,政府要特别注意防止中西部地区农村和城乡居民间收入差距的扩大。此外,本文的实证研究还验证了收入分配库兹涅茨曲线的存在,并发现财政支出以及人力资本等都会起到缩小居民收入差距的作用,而通货膨胀则会恶化居民收入分配的不平等。
[Abstract]:The income distribution of macroeconomic volatility and residents has always been an important issue in economics. In recent years, more and more foreign scholars have begun to study the macroeconomic fluctuation and income inequality between the contact, and draw different conclusions. However, so far there are few domestic research on China's economic fluctuation influence on Residents' income gap in the literature at present, trend of China's economy running smoothly, but the macroeconomic fluctuations always exist, and the income gap between the residents continue to expand, the government has made a series of policies to help the poor and narrow the income gap in China is an urgent need to solve the problem, under this background, this research can provide reference for government decision-making. In order to explore the macro economic fluctuations of the income gap, and find the possible mitigating factors, this paper firstly reviews the domestic and foreign about macro economy The related theory of fluctuations of the income gap and the empirical research literature, and then discusses the measure and method of macroeconomic volatility and the income gap, and combined with the descriptive statistics of the relevant indicators of the statistical data of 2001-2014 in China and the region, a comprehensive analysis of the current development status of China's macroeconomic fluctuations and the the area and all levels of residents' income gap. By using the provincial panel data from the perspective of empirical study of our internal macroeconomic fluctuations on the impact of urban residents, rural residents' income gap between residents of different levels within and between urban and rural residents, and the impact of the macroeconomic fluctuations in different stages on all levels of residents' income gap the different, and further compares the differences in macroeconomic fluctuations in eastern and western regions of the income distribution effect, the most After using the PMG estimation method is discussed. The long-term effect of macroeconomic fluctuations in different regions at different levels of income distribution. According to the research conclusion, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy suggestions. The main results of this paper show that the influence of macroeconomic fluctuations in different stages of the same level of income gap is asymmetric, and there is an obvious regional difference in the eastern and Western influence. In particular, this study found that, in the long term, macroeconomic fluctuations during the boom period have a significant impact on the level of residents' income gap between the eastern region to expand, and in the fluctuation of macro economy recession on the income gap between urban and rural Midwest have long-term significant effect. Therefore, according to the research conclusions, this paper argues that in the period of economic prosperity, the government should focus on preventing the eastern region at all levels of residents The widening income gap, while in the period of economic recession, the government should pay special attention to prevent the expansion of the income gap between rural and urban and rural residents in the central and western regions. In addition, this paper also verifies the existence of Kuznets curve of income distribution, and shows that the fiscal expenditure and human capital will play a role in narrowing the income gap, and inflation will be worsening income inequality.

【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F124.7;F124.8

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