浙江省能源消费结构对能源效率影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-09 09:22

本文关键词：浙江省能源消费结构对能源效率影响研究　出处：《浙江财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：能源是国民经济持续发展的重要资源,是中国崛起的动力,然而当前日益紧缺的能源已成为制约经济社会发展的重要因素。环顾全球,提高能源效率水平是缓解能源供需矛盾,确保区域经济快速稳定发展的必经之路,也是转变经济增长方式,世界各国摆脱能源短缺的唯一路径,实现变革的关键点所在。现如今全世界范围内,能源消费问题已处在面临重大变革期。浙江省目前正面临着国际能源发展的新变化趋势,能源供求的新模式,促进能源生产和能源消费变化,保护本省能源安全等一系列问题,这也正是浙江省能源消费结构转型升级的关键举措。本文的重点是通过理论分析和建立协整关系模型的分析方法,对浙江省1995-2014年间能源消费结构与能源效率的关系进行协整检验,得出结论:得出结论:天然气、水核风电比重与总体能源效率成正比,即天然气和水核风电的消费占能源消费总量的比重上升,会促进能源效率提高;煤类、石油比重与总体能源效率成反比关系,即煤类、石油的消费占能源消费总量的比重上升,会引起总体能源效率下降。随后通过运用计量经济学方法分析能源消费结构对能源效率的影响,并引入技术进步作为影响因素,从实证方面给出数量化的研究理论:煤类能源消费结构和油品类能源消费结构在科技强度投入高时对能源效率具有显著的促进作用,而在科技投入强度低时不利于能源效率的提升;不管科技投入强度高或者科技投入强度低,天然气能源消费结构和水核风电能源消费结构对能源效率都具有显著的促进作用。最后,本文提出了浙江省提升能源效率水平的对策建议:一是大力鼓励天然气和可再生能源的开发和利用,拓展天然气的使用范围;二是加快转变经济增长方式,继续优化产业结构;三是推进能源科技创新;四是推进油气体制市场化改革。
[Abstract]:Energy is an important resource for the sustainable development of the national economy and a driving force for the rise of China. However, the increasingly scarce energy has become an important factor restricting the economic and social development. Improving the level of energy efficiency is the only way to ease the contradiction between supply and demand of energy and to ensure the rapid and stable development of regional economy. It is also the only way to change the mode of economic growth and get rid of the energy shortage in the world. Nowadays, the problem of energy consumption is in the period of great change in the world. Zhejiang Province is facing the new trend of international energy development and the new mode of energy supply and demand. Promote energy production and energy consumption change, protect the province's energy security and a series of issues. This is also the key measure of energy consumption structure transformation and upgrading in Zhejiang Province. The cointegration test on the relationship between energy consumption structure and energy efficiency from 1995 to 2014 in Zhejiang Province is carried out, and the conclusion is drawn: the proportion of natural gas and water core wind power is directly proportional to the overall energy efficiency. That is, the proportion of natural gas and water core wind power consumption in total energy consumption will increase, which will promote energy efficiency. Coal, the proportion of petroleum and overall energy efficiency is inversely proportional, that is, coal, the proportion of oil consumption in the total energy consumption increased. Then the econometric method is used to analyze the impact of energy consumption structure on energy efficiency, and the technological progress is introduced as the influencing factor. From the empirical aspect, the quantitative research theory is given: coal energy consumption structure and oil energy consumption structure play a significant role in promoting energy efficiency when the investment of science and technology intensity is high. When the intensity of science and technology input is low, it is not conducive to the improvement of energy efficiency. Whether the intensity of science and technology input is high or the intensity of science and technology investment is low, the structure of natural gas energy consumption and the energy consumption structure of hydro-core wind power have significant effect on energy efficiency. Finally. This paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to improve energy efficiency in Zhejiang Province: first, to encourage the development and utilization of natural gas and renewable energy, and to expand the scope of natural gas use; Second, speed up the transformation of economic growth mode and continue to optimize the industrial structure; Third, to promote energy science and technology innovation; Fourth, promote the marketization reform of oil and gas system.
【学位授予单位】：浙江财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.2

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