京津冀地区能源消费结构与碳足迹分析

发布时间：2018-01-30 06:48

本文关键词： 京津冀地区能源消费结构碳排放碳足迹　出处：《天津大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文以京津冀地区自2000年至2013年的经济和能源消费数据作为研究的对象。首先,本文整理和分析京津冀三地在2000-2013年间的能源消费结构,并比较了地区差异;其次,以北京市为例,研究其分产业的能源消费结构和变化特征;第三,根据IPCC方法对京津冀地区的碳排放变化特征、能源消费强度和碳排放强度等指标的变化规律进行研究和分析。研究结果表明:(1)北京市的能源消费总量、三大行业能源消费量和居民能源消费量在2000-2012年均呈现逐年增加的趋势,其中:煤炭、原油、电力、天然气是主要能源消费类型。煤炭、焦炭和燃料油的消费量较之前有所下降,其余能源类型的消费量均显著上涨,其中天然气和电力的消费增速最为明显。北京市的碳排放总量略有增加,由2000年的2891万吨增长到2012年的3242万吨,煤炭在碳排放构成中比例由40%下降到20%。北京市能源消费强度与碳排强度呈逐年快速下降的态势,分别降至0.40tce/万元和0.18t/万元,处于全国领先水平。北京市的碳足迹总体呈缓慢增长趋势,但增速逐年放缓,并在2011年首次实现碳足迹的负增长。(2)天津市能源消费总量在统计期间持续快速增长,煤炭、原油和电力是天津市最主要的能源消费类型,其中煤炭的消费比重一直在45%以上。天津市各能源类型在统计期间均出现了增长,其中电力和天然气的增速最为显著,煤炭消费增速缓慢,导致其在消费结构中的比重逐年下降。天津市碳排放总量由2000年的2608万吨增长到2013年的6827万吨,其中占据主导地位的能源是煤炭。天津市碳排放量的增速已明显放缓,而能源消费强度与碳排放强度分别以7.33%和8.53%的年均下降率持续降低。天津市的碳足迹数据以7.89%的年均增长率不断上升。(3)河北省的能源消费总量在2000-2012年呈逐年上升的趋势,年均增速为7.95%。煤炭在能源消费结构占据绝对主导地位,所有能源类型的消费量均有所上升。河北省碳排放量由2000年的8278万吨增长到2012年的22253万吨,其中煤炭消费导致的碳排放量占总排放量的90%。随着地区生产总值的增长,河北省能源消费强度与碳排放强度表现为逐年下降的趋势,但下降速率小于GDP的的增长速度,河北省距离实现碳排放的负增长还有相当距离。河北省碳足迹持续增加,年均增速为8.59%,快于能源消费增速。(4)京津冀地区是传统的轻重工业基地,煤炭在能源消费结构中比重大,因此导致碳排放量增速居高不下,环境污染问题突出,这是京津冀地区节能减排所面临的现实困境。区域内的节能减排工作依赖于产业结构调整和技术升级、能源消费结构调整和利用效率提高。政府应协调好低碳经济与原有产业结构间的协调整合,建立符合地区的持续健康发展模式
[Abstract]:In this paper, the economic and energy consumption data from 2000 to 2013 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are taken as the research object. This paper analyzes the energy consumption structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from 2000 to 2013, and compares the regional differences. Secondly, taking Beijing as an example, the paper studies the energy consumption structure and changing characteristics of its industries. Thirdly, according to the IPCC method, the change characteristics of carbon emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are analyzed. The changes of energy consumption intensity and carbon emission intensity were studied and analyzed. Energy consumption of three major industries and energy consumption of residents in 2000-2012 showed an increasing trend year by year, among them: coal, crude oil, electricity, natural gas are the main types of energy consumption. Coal. The consumption of coke and fuel oil was lower than before, and the consumption of other energy types increased significantly, with the consumption of natural gas and electricity the most obvious. The total amount of carbon emissions in Beijing increased slightly. From 28.91 million tons in 2000 to 32.42 million tons in 2012. The proportion of coal in the composition of carbon emissions decreased from 40% to 20. The intensity of energy consumption and carbon emission in Beijing decreased rapidly year by year. To 0.40tce10,000 yuan and 0.18t / 10,000 yuan respectively, it is the leading level in the whole country. The carbon footprint of Beijing has a slow growth trend, but the growth rate is slowing year by year. In 2011, the negative growth of carbon footprint was realized for the first time.) the total energy consumption in Tianjin continued to grow rapidly during the statistical period. Coal, crude oil and electricity are the most important types of energy consumption in Tianjin. Among them, the proportion of coal consumption has been more than 45%. The energy types in Tianjin have increased during the statistical period, among which electricity and natural gas growth rate is the most significant, coal consumption growth rate is slow. The total carbon emissions in Tianjin increased from 26.08 million tons in 2000 to 68.27 million tons in 2013. The dominant energy source is coal. The growth rate of Tianjin's carbon emissions has slowed markedly. The energy consumption intensity and carbon emission intensity decreased continuously by 7.33% and 8.53%, respectively. The carbon footprint data of Tianjin increased by 7.89% per year. The total energy consumption in Hebei Province increased year by year from 2000 to 2012. The average annual growth rate is 7.95. Coal occupies an absolute dominant position in the energy consumption structure. Consumption of all energy types has risen. Hebei's carbon emissions rose from 82.78 million tonnes in 2000 to 222.53 million tonnes in 2012. The carbon emissions caused by coal consumption account for 90% of the total emissions. With the growth of regional GDP, the energy consumption intensity and carbon emission intensity of Hebei Province are decreasing year by year. However, the decline rate is less than the growth rate of GDP, and Hebei Province is still far from realizing the negative growth of carbon emissions. The carbon footprint of Hebei Province continues to increase, with an average annual growth rate of 8.59%. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is a traditional light and heavy industrial base, coal has a large proportion in the energy consumption structure, which leads to the high growth rate of carbon emissions and environmental pollution. This is the real dilemma of energy saving and emission reduction in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, where energy saving and emission reduction work depends on the adjustment of industrial structure and technological upgrading. The adjustment of energy consumption structure and the improvement of utilization efficiency. The government should coordinate and integrate the low-carbon economy with the original industrial structure, and establish a sustainable and healthy development model in line with the region.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：X24;F426.2

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