“一带一路”与中国钢铁出口贸易发展研究

发布时间：2018-02-13 08:36

本文关键词： 一带一路钢铁行业产能过剩出口贸易　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：“一带一路”构想自2013年提出以来,便得到了国际社会的广泛关注,它是我国经济发展进入新常态格局后,推动我国经济发展的重要动力和机遇。该战略的实施对中国以及相关多个国家的经济、文化和政治影响意义深远。加强区域合作和贸易往来是“一带一路”构想中重点建设的内容,因此其对我国贸易经济,特别是出口贸易的影响潜力是巨大的。“一带一路”构想的发展不仅改善了我国整体经济情况,同时也对我国钢铁行业产生了重大影响。近年来我国钢铁行业处于低迷状况,众多企业纷纷面临破产,主要原因便是产能过剩问题,而“一带一路”为解决该问题创造了一大机遇。在“一带一路”相关国家中,有众多基础设施建设相对不够完善而需要大量钢材建设的新兴发展中国家和落后国家,也有较为发达但钢铁行业不再具有优势的发达国家,我国若能加强与这些国家的合作与交流,提高我国钢材产品的出口,便能抓住机会向外化解我国钢铁行业的过剩产能。本文主要通过理论和实证两方面来研究“一带一路”构想对我国钢铁出口贸易的影响。理论方面文章阐述了目前我国钢铁行业和“一带一路”构想的发展现状,并结合经典理论与文献,分析了我国钢铁行业融入“一带一路”构想的必要性。实证方面文章首先通过近年来我国部分钢材产品出口情况统计和“一带一路”部分国家的发展战略进行了贸易数据和投资机会分析,分析发现我国钢材产品确实向“一带一路”部分相关国家的出口高于非“一带一路”国家,而这些国家的发展战略也为我国钢材产品出口创造了很多机会。另外文章还选取了2015年我国向美国、日本、韩国、越南等146个国家和地区钢材出口量(SE)的数据,建立回归模型,分析是否为“一带一路”国家或地区(BR)、一国国内生产总值(GDP)和从中国进口钢材产品所征收的平均从价进口税率(TM)对钢材出口量的影响。回归分析结果表示,各国GDP和是否为“一带一路”国家对我国钢材出口量影响显著,而从中国进口钢材产品的平均从价进口税率影响不显著。通过理论与实证两方面的研究后,本文最终还给出了一些建议,希望能够对利用“一带一路”构想加强钢铁出口来解决我国钢铁行业产能过剩问题有所帮助。
[Abstract]:The concept of "Belt and Road" has been widely concerned by the international community since it was put forward in 2013. It is after China's economic development has entered the new normal pattern. The important driving force and opportunity to promote the economic development of our country. The implementation of this strategy will be beneficial to the economy of China and many other countries concerned. The cultural and political implications are far-reaching. Strengthening regional cooperation and trade exchanges is the focus of construction in Belt and Road's concept, so it has a great impact on China's trade economy. In particular, the impact potential of export trade is enormous. The development of "Belt and Road" has not only improved the overall economic situation of our country, but also had a major impact on our steel industry. In recent years, China's iron and steel industry is in a depressed state. Many enterprises are facing bankruptcy, mainly because of overcapacity, and Belt and Road has created a great opportunity to solve this problem. There are many new developing countries and backward countries whose infrastructure construction is relatively imperfect and requires a large amount of steel construction, and there are also developed countries that are more developed but whose steel industry no longer has advantages. If our country can strengthen cooperation and exchanges with these countries, and increase the export of our steel products, This paper mainly studies the influence of Belt and Road's conception on China's iron and steel export trade through both theoretical and empirical aspects. The current situation of the development of the former China's steel industry and the "Belt and Road" concept, And combined with classical theory and literature, This paper analyzes the necessity of China's iron and steel industry's integration into "Belt and Road". Firstly, the article analyzes the export statistics of some steel products in China in recent years and the development strategy of some countries of "Belt and Road". Trade data and investment opportunities analysis, The analysis found that the export of China's steel products to some of the countries concerned with "Belt and Road" is higher than that of non-" Belt and Road "countries. The development strategies of these countries have also created many opportunities for China's steel products exports. In addition, the article also selected data from China's steel exports to the United States, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam and other 146 countries and regions in 2015 to establish a regression model. This paper analyzes the influence of "Belt and Road" countries or regions on the export of steel products, including China's gross domestic product (GDP) and the average ad valorem import duty rate levied on steel products imported from China. The influence of GDP and Belt and Road on China's steel exports is significant, but the average ad valorem import duty rate of steel products imported from China is not significant. Finally, some suggestions are given in this paper, hoping to be helpful to solve the problem of overcapacity in China's steel industry by using Belt and Road's idea to strengthen steel exports.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.31;F752.62

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