我国去工业化对区域性技术创新的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-02 14:11

本文选题：区域性去工业化　切入点：技术创新　出处：《上海师范大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：去工业化是和工业化相对应的一个概念,表现为制造业部门或其生产资源在国家之间、地区之间乃至不同产业之间转移的一种现象,从量化的角度,去工业化表现为制造业的产值、就业等绝对或相对指标的持续下降。美国、英国、日本等发达国家在经历了经济高速发展的工业化进程后,又先后经历了制造业部门不断衰退的去工业化过程。改革开放以来,中国依托比较低廉的土地成本、劳动力成本、原材料成本等优势,承接了欧美市场庞大的生产线和技术能力,国际制造业部门大量涌入,中国经济也因此得到了快速发展,创造了世界经济奇迹并成为了名副其实的“世界工厂”。然而,在经历了多年的高速增长后,中国经济现阶段进入了新常态:GDP增速放缓,经济转型升级和产业结构调整成为常态。本文的数据分析表明,我国部分地区的制造业产值和就业指标已经出现了连续的下降,表现出显著的去工业化现象。去工业化过程对地区经济发展的影响,主要可以分为两类:积极的影响和消极的影响。目前来看,消极影响的观点占据了学术界的主流,大部分学者认为,制造业是国家经济增长的动力源泉(Kaldor,1967),是技术创新和扩散导致的供给增长的源泉(Hersh和Weller,2003),所以,一个地区的去工业化导致制造业部门的萎缩或转移,也必然会导致该地区出现创新不足的困境;持相反观点的学者则认为,去工业化是在一个地区经济发展到较高水平时必然出现的现象,是经济结构调整的结果,不仅不会导致经济增长的停滞还能够带动经济持续、稳定的发展。纵观欧美发达国家去工业化的过程及影响可知,由于基本国情不同,各国去工业化的过程及其影响也存在较大差异,既有积极的影响也存在消极、负面的影响。当前,我国已经出现了较显著的区域性去工业化现象,而关于去工业化对我国经济发展和技术创新的影响同样存在较大争议,去工业化将会给我国的经济发展带来何种结果,是值得我们进行深入探讨的话题。现阶段,我国正处于产业结构调整的重要时期,供给端的产能过剩和需求端的消费升级推动了我国的供给侧改革,在产业改革的过程中,技术创新是实现产业结构调整、驱动经济发展的重要途径,基于此,本文通过建立计量回归模型,实证分析了区域性去工业化对技术创新的影响,进而探讨了去工业化对我国产业结构调整和经济发展的影响。首先,文章对去工业化的内涵和类别进行了解释和划分,根据相关理论探讨了去工业化与技术创新的内在影响机制;其次,对我国的去工业化现状进行了分析,分别从全国层面和地区层面对我国的去工业化进行了度量分析;最后,构建面板数据模型研究我国区域性去工业化对技术创新的影响,本文还在计量模型中引入了二次项,分析去工业化与技术创新之间是否存在非线性关系。实证结果表明:(1)我国的区域性去工业化对技术创新的影响是一个由促进到抑制的过程,表现出倒“U”型的非线性关系;(2)由于去工业化的过程以及区域规划不同,我国区域性去工业化对技术创新的影响也存在差异。最后,本文结合区域经济发展规划和产业发展特点,分析了去工业化的影响并给出以下建议:1.要进行积极的去工业化,产业结构调整与区域规划相结合;2.各地区需明确产业发展方向,优化产业结构,保留并发展优势、核心产业。
[Abstract]:Industrialization is a concept of industrialization and the corresponding to the performance of the manufacturing sector or the production resources between countries, a phenomenon of transfer between regions and different industries, from a quantitative point of view to industrialization for manufacturing output, employment continued to decline in absolute or relative index. The United States, England Japan and other developed countries, has experienced rapid economic development after the process of industrialization, and has gone through the manufacturing sector continues to decline to the industrialization process. Since the reform and opening up, Chinese relying on relatively low land costs, labor costs, raw material costs and other advantages, to undertake large market and production line and technical ability. The influx of international manufacturing sector, China economy has been rapid development, has created an economic miracle in the world and become worthy of the name "world factory". However, after After years of rapid growth, the economy has entered a new stage of Chinese normal: GDP slowdown, economic transformation and upgrading of industrial structure adjustment become the norm. The data analysis shows that in some areas of China's manufacturing output and employment index has been continuous decline, showed a significant influence to the industrialization phenomenon. The industrialization process of regional economic development, which can be divided into two categories: positive and negative effects. At present, the negative influence of view occupy the mainstream of academic circles, most scholars believe that the manufacturing industry is the power source of national economic growth (Kaldor, 1967), is the source of technological innovation and diffusion results supply growth (Hersh and Weller, 2003), so that a region to industrialization led to the manufacturing sector to shrink or transfer, will inevitably lead to the region suffered a new problem; the opposite The views of scholars are of the opinion that is in a regional economic development to a higher level of the inevitable phenomenon of industrialization, the adjustment of economic structure is the result, not only does not lead to the stagnation of economic growth but also to drive the economy sustained, stable development. The process and effect of industrialization in developed countries throughout Europe and the United States to know, because the basic conditions are different all countries, to process and the influence of industrialization are quite different, both have a positive effect also exists negative, negative effects. At present, our country has been in a significant regional industrialization phenomenon, and on the impact of industrialization on China's economic development and technological innovation is also controversial to industrialization will what were the results for the economic development of our country, is worthy of our in-depth discussion. At present, our country is in the important period of adjustment of industrial structure, supply The end of the excess capacity and the demand side of the supply side to promote the Consumption Upgrade Reform of our country, in the process of industry reform, technological innovation is an important way to realize the adjustment of industrial structure, drive economic development, based on this, this paper through the establishment of regression model, an empirical analysis of the influence to regional industrialization of technological innovation. And then discusses the influence to the industrialization of our country industrial structure adjustment and economic development. Firstly, the connotation and categories of industrialization were explained and divided, according to the relevant theory of industrialization and technological innovation to the internal mechanism of the new industrialization; secondly, the present situation of our country to analyze the face, respectively. From the national level and the level of our country area measurement and analysis to industrialization; finally, the construction of China's regional industrialization of technological innovation influence the panel data model. In the measurement model was introduced in two, to analysis if there exist the nonlinear relationship between industrialization and technological innovation. The empirical results show that: (1) regions in China to influence the industrialization of technological innovation is a process from promoting to inhibiting, non linear relationship between the performance of the inverted "U" type; (2 due to the industrialization process) and regional planning, China's regional influence to industrialization of technological innovation are also different. Finally, combining with the regional economic development planning and industrial development characteristics, analyzed the influence of industrialization and give the following recommendations: 1. to actively to the industrialization, the adjustment of industrial structure and regional planning; 2. regions need to clear direction of industrial development, optimize the industrial structure, to retain and develop the advantage, core industries.

【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F424;F124.3

【参考文献】