新疆旅游业发展效率研究

发布时间：2018-03-03 08:09

本文选题：旅游业　切入点：效率　出处：《石河子大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：旅游在新疆社会经济及精准扶贫攻坚中发挥着重要作用。受经济水平、交通基础设施、管理水平等因素制约,新疆旅游业发展效率水平不高、区域旅游经济发展不平衡。为了推动旅游业向集约类方向的加速转变,实现新疆旅游业的均衡持续发展,对其效率问题的研究就非常重要。通过实证分析新疆各地州旅游业发展效率及其时空分异规律,研究影响新疆旅游业发展效率的主客观因素,探索提高旅游业发展效率的科学途径和有效措施,可为推进新疆旅游业健康协调发展提供理论依据。本文根据旅游经济学和可持续发展理论,结合国内外相关研究成果,用统计分析及空间分析等方法,选择旅行社数量等5种投入指标和旅游总收入、入境旅游总人次2种产出指标,构建了综合性区域旅游业发展效率评价指标体系,并运用DEA-BCC模型,对新疆15个地州的旅游业发展效率进行测算,从动态发展、空间分析两个层面对旅游业发展综合效率和分解效率等三个维度进行了综合评价,根据分析结果及存在问题,提出了对提升旅游业发展效率的对策措施。主要结论如下:(1)在研究期内,只有吐鲁番和塔城的旅游综合效率八年来保持了DEA模型的最优水平,乌鲁木齐的综合效率较为稳定,保持在0.9以上,说明新疆各地州的效率水平一般。(2)新疆旅游业的投入冗余情况比较严重。其中阿勒泰、喀什等八个地州存在比较严重的投入冗余情况。在所有投入要素中,旅游业从业人员的要素投入冗余最少。(3)新疆旅游业发展各项效率在波动中下降,极低值出现在2009和2014年。并且在八年间,纯技术效率对综合效率的制约作用更强。对于单个地州来说,纯技术效率和规模效率的变化均分为两种情况:效率保持不变或者在小范围内波动;跳跃式变化。出现这种状态主要是受2008年金融危机、2009年7·5事件、2013年及之后发生的暴恐事件的影响,新疆旅游业发展接连受挫,不同地州的基础条件不同,所受危机事件的影响程度不同。(4)新疆旅游业发展各项效率的空间特征:地带效应,各效率在北中南三大地带的差异明显。综合效率表现出天山沿线大于北部和南部大于塔里木盆地沿线;纯技术有效的范围较广,天山沿线、北部和南部大于塔里木盆地沿线,规模效率出现连片分布区。空间方向性,各项效率的重心有规律的转移。综合效率与规模效率的高值重心向北疆转移,低值重心向南疆转移。(5)在未来旅游业的发展过程中,新疆主要从下面四个方面优化新疆旅游业发展效率:基础要素、技术与管理创新、调整产业结构和要素投入水平、制度安排方面。
[Abstract]:Tourism plays an important role in Xinjiang's social economy and precision poverty alleviation. Restricted by factors such as economic level, transportation infrastructure and management level, the level of tourism development efficiency in Xinjiang is not high. In order to accelerate the transformation of tourism to intensive direction and realize the balanced and sustainable development of tourism in Xinjiang, It is very important to study the efficiency of tourism development in Xinjiang. Through the empirical analysis of tourism development efficiency and its temporal and spatial differentiation law in various states of Xinjiang, the subjective and objective factors affecting the efficiency of tourism development in Xinjiang are studied. To explore the scientific approaches and effective measures to improve the efficiency of tourism development can provide a theoretical basis for promoting the healthy and coordinated development of tourism in Xinjiang. According to the theories of tourism economics and sustainable development, this paper combines the relevant research results at home and abroad. With the methods of statistical analysis and spatial analysis, this paper selects five kinds of input indexes such as the number of travel agencies and total tourist income, and two kinds of output indexes of the total number of inbound tourism, and constructs the evaluation index system of comprehensive regional tourism development efficiency. Using DEA-BCC model, the paper calculates the tourism development efficiency of 15 counties in Xinjiang, and evaluates the comprehensive efficiency and decomposition efficiency of tourism development from two aspects of dynamic development and spatial analysis. According to the analysis results and existing problems, this paper puts forward countermeasures and measures to improve the efficiency of tourism development. The main conclusions are as follows: during the research period, only Turpan and Tacheng have maintained the optimal level of DEA model for the overall efficiency of tourism in the past eight years. The overall efficiency of Urumqi is relatively stable and remains above 0.9, indicating that the level of efficiency in all states in Xinjiang is generally. 2) the situation of redundancy in Xinjiang tourism investment is quite serious. Among them, Altay, Kashi and other eight prefectures have relatively serious input redundancy. Of all the input elements, the factor input redundancy of tourism employees is the least.) the efficiency of tourism development in Xinjiang decreases in fluctuation. Very low values occurred in 2009 and 2014. And in eight years, pure technical efficiency had a greater constraint on overall efficiency. For individual states, The change of pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency can be divided into two situations: the efficiency remains unchanged or fluctuates in a small range; This state of affairs was mainly affected by the financial crisis of 2008, the July 5 incident on 2009, the violent terrorist incident that occurred on 2013 and after, the tourism industry development in Xinjiang was thwarted one after another, and the basic conditions of different states were different. (4) the spatial characteristics of tourism development efficiency in Xinjiang: zone effect, The comprehensive efficiency shows that the Tianshan area is larger than the northern part and the southern part is larger than the Tarim basin, and the range of pure technical effectiveness is wider, along the Tianshan Mountains and in the north and south than along the Tarim basin, and the total efficiency is higher in the north and south than that in the Tarim basin. The distribution area of scale efficiency is continuous, spatial directionality, the center of gravity of each efficiency is shifted regularly. The high value center of gravity of comprehensive efficiency and scale efficiency transfers to north Xinjiang, and the center of gravity of low value transfers to south Xinjiang.) in the process of developing tourism in the future, Xinjiang mainly optimizes the efficiency of Xinjiang tourism development from the following four aspects: basic elements, technological and management innovation, adjustment of industrial structure and input level of elements, and institutional arrangements.
【学位授予单位】：石河子大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F592.7

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