人民币国际化的条件与路径研究

发布时间：2018-03-08 03:36

本文选题：人民币国际化　切入点：国际货币　出处：《东北师范大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国是当今世界上最大的经济体之一,伴随着中国经济的腾飞,人民币国际化也成为国内外学术界竞相探讨的热点话题。同时,美元霸权的脆弱性、欧元的落寞以及日元的疲软,在一定程度上也为人民币走上国际舞台提供了难得的契机。中国政府也加快了推进人民币国际化的步伐,在人民币自由兑换、金融市场发展、离岸人民币市场等方面成绩斐然。2015年12月,国际货币基金组织将人民币正式纳入特别提款权(SDR)货币篮子,标志着人民币向国际化迈出了举足轻重的一步。本文旨在对货币国际化相关理论和主要国际货币发展史深入梳理的基础上,对人民币国际化的条件及路径进行新的探索,进而对人民币国际化的实现路径进行分析和探讨。本文首先对货币国际化的相关概念进行界定,从最优货币区理论、货币替代理论对货币国际化进行了理论分析;其次,梳理了美元、欧元、日元的国际化的进程及其路径经验,并以美元、日元、英镑、瑞士法郎和欧元等主要国际货币为样本,构建计量模型,定量分析其货币国际化的因素及其影响程度。本文第四部分剖析了人民币的现状,并从宏观经济状况、金融市场发展状况、币值稳定程度、政治地位等多个角度对人民币国际化的条件进行了定性和定量的分析。最后,分析了人民币国际化的特殊性,并在坚持渐进性、独立自主、合作性等原则的基础上,设计出推进人民币国际化的路径图,并提出了相关的政策建议。
[Abstract]:China is one of the largest economies in the world today. With the rapid development of China's economy, RMB internationalization has become a hot topic in academic circles at home and abroad. At the same time, the fragility of US dollar hegemony, The desolation of the euro and the weakness of the yen, to a certain extent, have also provided a rare opportunity for the renminbi to step onto the international stage. The Chinese government has also accelerated the pace of promoting the internationalization of the renminbi, with the free exchange of the renminbi and the development of the financial market. In December 2015, the International Monetary Fund formally included the renminbi in the SDR basket. This paper aims to explore the conditions and paths of RMB internationalization on the basis of deeply combing the relevant theories of currency internationalization and the history of the development of major international currencies. Firstly, this paper defines the relevant concepts of currency internationalization, and analyzes the monetary internationalization from the theory of optimal currency area and the theory of currency substitution; secondly, the paper analyzes the theory of currency internationalization from the point of view of the optimal currency area theory and the currency substitution theory. Combing the process of internationalization of US dollar, euro and yen and its path experience, and taking the US dollar, Japanese yen, sterling, Swiss franc and euro as samples, the paper constructs a measurement model. This paper analyzes the current situation of RMB in 4th, and analyzes the status quo of RMB from the aspects of macroeconomic situation, financial market development, currency stability, and so on. The political status and other aspects of RMB internationalization are analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively. Finally, the particularity of RMB internationalization is analyzed, and on the basis of the principles of gradualism, independence and cooperation, Design the path map to promote the internationalization of RMB, and put forward the relevant policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F832.6

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