中国省际经济效率及空间溢出分析

发布时间：2018-03-14 23:00

本文选题：经济效率　切入点：SBM模型　出处：《辽宁师范大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济迅速发展,年度经济平均增长率超过9%,到2013年我国民生产总值达到56.6万亿元,工业增加值21.06万亿元,已成为世界第二大经济体。但是长期以来由于我国经济增长依赖大量的要素投入,经济快速增长导致了自然资源过度消耗、环境污染日趋严重,这种以资源环境为代价粗放低效的经济增长方式令我国取得惊人的经济成就的同时也令我国付出了巨大的环境代价。统计资料表明2013年我国工业废水、废气、固体废弃物排放量分别达到了209.8亿吨、63.6亿立方米、32.8亿吨。这种以资源环境为代价的经济发展方式严重破坏了我国可持续发展的基础。十八届五中全会提出我国必须坚持坚持节约资源和保护环境的基本国策,坚持可持续发展,加快建设资源节约型、环境友好型社会。在环境约束条件下,提高我国经济效率有助于贯彻落实十八届五中全会精神,促进保护环境,节约资源,保持经济稳定增长,加快转变经济发展方式,优化产业结构,深入实施创新驱动发展战略,进一步促进生态文明建设,形成人与自然和谐发展现代化建设新格局。本研究以区域经济学,空间计量经济学为基础,在充分考虑到环境因素对我国经济发展所产生影响的条件下,通过运用带有非期望产出的SBM模型分别测度我国各地区传统经济效率及绿色经济效率分析其演变趋势,并通过全局Moran’s I指数及局部Moran’s I研究各地区经济效率间的空间关联效应,最后在此基础上运用空间Durbin计量模型,对我国各地区经济效率的空间溢出效应及其影响因素进行分析,研究结果表明我国各地区经济效率分布极度不均衡,传统经济效率显著高于绿色经济效率,各地区经济效率存在显著的空间溢出效应,人力资本、科研水平、交通密度对经济效率的溢出效应存在显著正向影响,产业结构在考虑环境约束条件下对经济效率的溢出效应产生负向影响,建成区面积城市化率在直接效应方面为负向影响,政府干预直接效应为正向影响其他方面为负向影响,制度因素及对外开放程度方面结果在统计学上并没有意义。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has developed rapidly, with an average annual economic growth rate of over 9 yuan. By 2013, China's gross national product had reached 56.6 trillion yuan, and the industrial added value of 21.06 trillion yuan. It has become the second largest economy in the world. However, for a long time, our country's economic growth depends on a large number of factor inputs, the rapid economic growth has led to excessive consumption of natural resources, and environmental pollution is becoming more and more serious. This extensive and inefficient mode of economic growth at the cost of resources and environment has made our country achieve amazing economic achievements and at the same time made our country pay a huge environmental price. Statistics show that in 2013, China's industrial waste water and waste gas, The discharge of solid waste has reached 20.98 billion tons, 6.36 billion cubic meters and 3.28 billion tons respectively. This economic development mode at the cost of resources and environment has seriously damaged the foundation of our country's sustainable development. We must adhere to the basic national policy of saving resources and protecting the environment. Adhering to sustainable development and speeding up the construction of a resource-saving and environment-friendly society. Under the conditions of environmental constraints, improving China's economic efficiency will contribute to the implementation of the spirit of the Fifth Plenary session of the 18 CPC Central Committee, promote the protection of the environment, and save resources. To maintain steady economic growth, speed up the transformation of economic development patterns, optimize industrial structures, implement the strategy of innovation-driven development in depth, and further promote the construction of ecological civilization. This study is based on regional economics and spatial econometrics, and takes full account of the influence of environmental factors on China's economic development. By using the SBM model with non-expected output to measure the traditional economic efficiency and the green economic efficiency of each region in China, the evolution trend is analyzed, and the spatial correlation effect among the regional economic efficiency is studied by using the global Moran's I index and the local Moran's I index. Finally, using spatial Durbin econometric model, this paper analyzes the spatial spillover effect of regional economic efficiency in China and its influencing factors. The results show that the distribution of economic efficiency in different regions of China is extremely unbalanced. The traditional economic efficiency is significantly higher than the green economic efficiency, the regional economic efficiency has significant spatial spillover effect, human capital, scientific research level, traffic density has a significant positive impact on the spillover effect of economic efficiency. The spillover effect of industrial structure on economic efficiency under the condition of environmental constraint has a negative impact on the direct effect of the urbanization rate of the built area, and the direct effect of government intervention is the positive effect on the other aspects. The results of institutional factors and degree of openness are not statistically significant.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F224;F124

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