江西省城乡居民收入差距的测度与影响因素分析
本文选题:江西省 + 收入差距 ; 参考:《江西财经大学》2016年硕士论文
【摘要】:自改革开放以来,政府逐步意识到经济建设的重要性,中国改变以前落后陈旧的面貌,开始朝着先进现代化的方向不断前行。江西省是中国内地一个偏落后的省份,江西省GDP总量稳健增长,三大产业结构进一步优化,全省经济实力愈加雄厚,人民生活水平也有了新的改善,随之而来的是城乡之间经济发展的日益失衡。收入差距越来越大的现状,一方面对江西省经济的可持续发展产生了不利影响,另一方面也给和谐社会的构建带来了巨大阻碍。因此,本文从新的视角出发,将城乡居民的隐性收入考虑在内,分析江西省收入差距问题,并深度探索影响江西省收入差距的各种经济因素和非经济因素,随之逐个分析其影响机理,进一步提出解决问题的思路是很有意义的一件事。第1章引言部分分为4个小节,第1小节介绍江西省收入差距问题的研究背景和意义;第2小节归纳隐性收入、收入差距影响因素的国内外研究现状以及文献总结;第3小节阐述本文的研究思路和方法;第4小节说明本文在视角上的创新和在隐性收入测算上的不足。第2章概念界定、理论借鉴与方法评述部分界定与收入有关的概念,详细定义国家统计局住户调查的收入、隐性收入;借鉴分析收入差距的相关理论,如库兹涅茨"倒U"假说理论、二元经济结构理论和收入分配理论;简单介绍几种测度收入差距的方法,如城乡居民收入比、基尼系数、泰尔指数,并针对每种测度方法概括其使用上的优点和不足。第3章江西省城乡居民收入差距的测度与分析部分分为3个小节,从江西省统计年鉴中查阅相关数据,多角度对江西省收入差距进行统计分析。第1小节对隐性收入进行测算发现江西省城乡居民都存在一定程度的隐性收入,且城镇居民的隐性收入规模明显大于农村居民的隐性收入规模,阅读大量最新文献可知类似研究中忽略了隐性收入的情况,由此测算的城乡居民收入差距并不真实;第2小节对1978—2013年江西省城乡居民收入相对差距进行分析,结果显示它经历了一个先缩小后扩大再缩小再扩大的总体过程,其变动轨迹犹如英文字母中的"W";第3小节基于收入结构的视角分析可知,对全省收入差距影响力最明显的是城乡居民在工资性收入上的差距,其次是城乡居民在转移净收入以及经营净收入上的差距,对全省收入差距影响力最不明显的是财产净收入差距。第4章江西省城乡居民收入差距影响因素的定性分析部分从五个角度展开但不涉及大量的统计数据,根据前面章节的分析,归纳出经济发展、政策偏向、金融发展、经济干预和其他影响五大类因素,并逐个分析其影响机理。第5章江西省城乡居民收入差距影响因素的定量分析部分是在第4章定性分析的基础上,从统计年鉴中收集江西省11个地级市2004—2013年的各项宏观统计数据,并构建收入差距全因素计量模型进行实证分析。该模型的被解释变量是按照泰尔指数测度的城乡居民收入差距,并根据五大类影响因素选取13个指标作为解释变量。经济发展因素选取人均GDP、城市化水平、经济开放度3个指标进行度量;政策偏向因素选取固定资产投资的政策偏向、科教文卫占财政支出的比重、公共服务占财政支出的比重、农业事务占财政支出的比重4个指标进行度量;金融发展因素选取金融发展规模、金融发展效率2个指标进行度量;经济干预因素选取财政支出占GDP的比重1个指标进行度量;其他影响因素选取第三产业占GDP的比重、第一产业占GDP的比重、国有单位在岗职工总数占全部在岗职工总数的比重3个指标进行度量。随后运用Eviews和Stata软件对模型的平稳性、截面相关性、序列相关性、组间异方差性进行数据检验和回归分析。第6章本文结论与对策建议部分分为2个小节,第1小节根据前面章节的分析概括本文的一些结论;第2小节针对结论提出相应的对策建议。例如加强对隐性收入问题的研究、加快城乡二元经济体制的改革、扭转城市偏向的财政支出政策、加快城市化进程的推进速度、建立和完善农村社会在养老和医疗方面的保障制度、带动城乡金融体系由不平等发展转向均衡发展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the government has gradually realized the importance of economic construction. China has changed the outmoded outmoded appearance before and began to move forward in the direction of advanced modernization. Jiangxi province is a backward province in the mainland of China, the total amount of GDP in Jiangxi province is steadily increasing, the three industrial structure is further optimized, and the economic strength of the province is more and more male. There is a new improvement in the living standard of the people and the increasing imbalance between urban and rural economic development. The income gap is becoming more and more large. On the one hand, it has a negative impact on the sustainable development of the economy in Jiangxi province. On the other hand, it has also greatly hindered the construction of a harmonious society. Therefore, this article starts from a new perspective. Taking the recessive income of urban and rural residents into account, analyzing the income gap in Jiangxi Province, and exploring all kinds of economic and non economic factors affecting the income gap in Jiangxi Province, and then analyzing its influence mechanism by one by one, and further putting forward the idea of solving the problem is a very meaningful thing. The first chapter is divided into 4 sections, first The section introduces the research background and significance of the income gap in Jiangxi province; second sections summarize the current research status and literature summary of the implicit income and income gap affecting factors at home and abroad; third sections explain the research ideas and methods of this article; the fourth sections explain the creation of this article in the Perspective and the deficiency in the calculation of the recessive income. The second chapter is a summary. Definition, theoretical reference and method commentary partly definition of income related concepts, detailed definition of the income of household survey in the National Bureau of statistics, recessive income, and related theories of income gap analysis, such as the Kuznets "inverted U" hypothesis, two yuan economic structure theory and income distribution theory, and briefly introduce several ways to measure income gap. The method, such as the income ratio of urban and rural residents, Gini coefficient, Tel index, summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of the use of each measure method. The third chapter is divided into 3 sections in the measurement and analysis of the income gap between urban and rural residents in Jiangxi Province, from the statistical yearbook of Jiangxi Province, and the statistical analysis of the income gap in Jiangxi province from multiple angles. The calculation of the hidden income in the first sections shows that the urban and rural residents in Jiangxi province have a certain degree of recessive income, and the recessive income of urban residents is obviously larger than the recessive income of the rural residents. The new literature can be seen that the hidden income is ignored in the similar study, and the income gap between urban and rural residents is calculated. It is not true; the second section analyses the relative income gap between urban and rural residents in Jiangxi province from 1978 to 2013. The result shows that it has undergone a general process of shrinking and then enlarging and then expanding again. The change track is like the "W" in the English alphabet; the third section is based on the perspective of income structure and the influence on the income gap of the province. The most obvious difference is the gap between urban and rural residents on wage income, followed by the gap between the urban and rural residents in the net income and the net income, and the net income gap is the most unobvious influence on the income gap of the province. The fourth chapter is the qualitative analysis part of the urban and rural residents' income gap in Jiangxi province from five angles. It does not involve a large number of statistical data. According to the analysis of the previous chapters, we have summed up five major categories of economic development, policy bias, financial development, economic intervention and other effects. The fifth chapter is the quantitative analysis of the factors affecting the income gap between urban and rural residents in Jiangxi Province, on the basis of the qualitative analysis of the fourth chapters. The annual statistical data of 11 cities of Jiangxi province from 2004 to 2013 are collected and the total factor measurement model of income gap is constructed. The model is explained by the income gap between urban and rural residents according to the Tel index, and 13 indicators are selected as explanatory variables according to the five major factors. The factors of development select 3 indicators: per capita GDP, urbanization level and economic openness; policy bias to select the policy bias of fixed assets investment, the proportion of science and education, the proportion of financial expenditure, the proportion of public services to fiscal expenditure, and the proportion of agricultural affairs in the proportion of fiscal expenditure, and the selection of financial development factors. The scale of financial development and the 2 indexes of the efficiency of financial development are measured; the economic intervention factor selects the proportion of the fiscal expenditure to measure the proportion of the GDP, and the other factors select the proportion of the third industry to the GDP, the proportion of the first industry to the GDP, and the proportion of the total number of workers in the state-owned units in the total number of workers in the job of 3. Then, Eviews and Stata software are used to test the stability of the model, cross section correlation, sequence correlation, and inter group heteroscedasticity are tested and regression analysis. The sixth chapter is divided into 2 sections and the first sections summarize the conclusions of this article according to the analysis of the previous chapters; and the second section puts forward the corresponding conclusions. For example, we should strengthen the research on the problem of hidden income, speed up the reform of the two yuan economic system in urban and rural areas, reverse the fiscal expenditure policy of urban bias, speed up the speed of the urbanization process, establish and perfect the rural social security system in the aspects of pension and medical care, and drive the urban and rural financial system from unequal development to equilibrium. Development.
【学位授予单位】:江西财经大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2016
【分类号】:F124.7
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