我国农户与期货市场对接的障碍研究

发布时间：2018-05-23 21:12

本文选题：农户 + 农产品期货市场　；参考：《天津商业大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着经济一体化的不断发展,我国农产品现货价格波动频繁,农业生产面临很大的不确定性风险,农户“小生产”与“大市场”之间的矛盾严重制约了我国农民增收和农村经济的发展,而农产品期货市场具有的价格发现和套期保值功能在减缓农产品现货价格波动、指引农民合理安排生产、稳定农民收益、推进农业产业化经营和现代化发展等方面具有重要作用。在此背景下,如何促进我国农户与农产品期货市场的对接,帮助农户利用农产品期货市场规避农业风险,是当前“三农”问题的一项重要任务。本文旨在研究我国农户与农产品期货市场对接的障碍,论证对接中各主要障碍的影响因素,在此基础上探讨破除各主要障碍的具体措施,从而达到加快农户与农产品期货市场有效对接的目的。本文采用定性研究与定量分析相结合,通过实地调研、理论模型和计量实证等方法,在基本核心概念界定和相关理论阐述的基础上,按照现状描述—问题发现—对策建议的思路进行研究。首先,从农户参与农产品期货市场的规模比例、参与方式及参与动机等方面着手分析我国农户参与农产品期货市场的现状,分析发现农户与期货市场对接中存在认知偏差、履约困境和套期保值风险等主要障碍;其次,理论分析各主要障碍对农户与农产品期货市场对接的作用机理;再次,深入研究影响各主要障碍的具体因素;最后,针对不同问题提出促进农户与农产品期货市场对接的若干政策建议,通过拓宽农户的信息获取途径、提供真实有效的期货信息、创新农户的期货培训方式、积极发展和创新中介组织、完善期货市场的法律法规和加强风险监控体系建设等措施,消除农户对农产品期货的认知偏差,积极引导农户通过中介组织间接参与农产品期货市场,充分利用套期保值实现风险规避和稳定增收。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of economic integration, the spot prices of agricultural products in China fluctuate frequently, and agricultural production faces great uncertainty risks. The contradiction between peasant household "small production" and "big market" has seriously restricted the increase of farmers' income and the development of rural economy, while the function of price discovery and hedging in agricultural futures market is to slow down the fluctuation of spot price of agricultural products. It plays an important role in guiding farmers to arrange production rationally, stabilizing farmers' income and promoting agricultural industrialization and modernization. Under this background, how to promote the docking between farmers and futures market of agricultural products and how to help farmers to avoid agricultural risks by using futures market of agricultural products is an important task of the current "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" problem. The purpose of this paper is to study the obstacles to the docking between farmers and the futures market of agricultural products, to demonstrate the influencing factors of the main obstacles in the docking process, and to discuss the concrete measures to break down the main obstacles on this basis. In order to speed up the farmers and agricultural futures market effective docking purpose. This paper adopts the combination of qualitative research and quantitative analysis, through field investigation, theoretical model and econometric demonstration, on the basis of defining the basic core concepts and expounding relevant theories. According to the current situation description-problem discovery-countermeasures and suggestions for the train of thought. First of all, the paper analyzes the current situation of farmers' participation in agricultural futures market from the aspects of scale ratio, participation mode and motivation of farmers' participation in agricultural futures market, and finds that there is cognitive bias in the connection between farmers and futures market. Implementation dilemma and hedging risk and other major obstacles; secondly, theoretical analysis of the main obstacles to farmers and agricultural product futures market docking mechanism; third, in-depth study of specific factors affecting the main obstacles; finally, In view of different problems, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the linkage between farmers and futures market of agricultural products. By widening the ways of obtaining information for farmers, providing real and effective futures information, and innovating the way of futures training for farmers, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to improve the futures training To actively develop and innovate intermediary organizations, improve the laws and regulations of the futures market, and strengthen the construction of a risk monitoring system, so as to eliminate the cognitive bias of farmers toward agricultural futures, We should actively guide farmers to participate indirectly in the agricultural product futures market through intermediary organizations and make full use of hedging to achieve risk aversion and stable income increase.
【学位授予单位】：天津商业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F724.5

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