河北省制造业选择影响及承接对策研究

发布时间：2018-08-27 12:38

【摘要】：京津冀协同发展战略是新时期国家重点区域规划战略之一。有效抓住京津冀协同发展战略的机遇是河北省促进本地经济发展的重要途径。在此背景下研究河北省制造业选择的影响以及承接京津制造业转移对策具有很强的现实意义。本文首先概述了新结构经济学和新经济地理学理论,并简述了空间计量经济学和面板数据回归分析等实证研究方法,为后文研究打下理论基础。其次,从产品和产业角度分析河北省制造业选择现状,认为目前河北省的制造业选择以资本密集型制造业为主。而后利用偏离份额分析法和技术选择指数分析当前河北省制造业选择存在的问题,得出河北省制造业对劳动力的吸纳能力较差,其制造业选择与自身劳动力资源丰富的比较优势背离较大结论。在此结论基础上,结合新结构经济学理论和新经济地理学工资方程研究当前制造业选择对河北省经济发展的影响,结果表明河北省背离自身比较优势的制造业选择抑制了河北省的产业结构升级和工资水平的提高,同时造成河北省难以根治的大气污染问题;最后,分析了京津制造业转移的趋势及其对河北省经济发展带来的机遇,并为河北省有效承接京津制造业转移,促进本地经济发展提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development strategy is one of the national key regional planning strategies in the new period. It is an important way to promote the development of local economy in Hebei province. Under this background, it is of great practical significance to study the influence of manufacturing choice in Hebei Province and the countermeasures to undertake the transfer of Beijing and Tianjin manufacturing industries. In this paper, the theories of new structural economics and new economic geography are summarized, and some empirical research methods, such as spatial econometrics and panel data regression analysis, are briefly described in this paper, which will lay a theoretical foundation for the later studies. Secondly, from the point of view of product and industry, the author analyzes the present situation of manufacturing choice in Hebei Province, and thinks that the choice of manufacturing industry in Hebei Province is mainly capital-intensive manufacturing. Then using the method of deviation share analysis and technology choice index to analyze the problems existing in the choice of manufacturing industry in Hebei Province, it is concluded that the ability of the manufacturing industry to absorb labor force in Hebei Province is poor. The choice of manufacturing industry deviates from the conclusion of its comparative advantage of abundant labor resources. On the basis of this conclusion, combined with the theory of new structural economics and the wage equation of new economic geography, this paper studies the influence of current manufacturing choice on the economic development of Hebei Province. The results show that the choice of manufacturing industry, which deviates from its comparative advantage, inhibits the upgrading of industrial structure and the increase of wages in Hebei Province, and at the same time causes the air pollution problem which is difficult to cure in Hebei Province. Finally, This paper analyzes the trend of the transfer of manufacturing industry from Beijing to Tianjin and the opportunities it brings to the economic development of Hebei Province, and puts forward some policy suggestions for Hebei Province to undertake the transfer of manufacturing industry from Beijing to Tianjin effectively and to promote the development of local economy.
【学位授予单位】：燕山大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F427

【相似文献】