“一带一路”战略下中国—东盟互联互通的经济效应分析

发布时间：2018-09-11 10:55

【摘要】：“一带一路”揭开了中国乃至全世界互联互通史的新篇幅。“一带一路”战略构想,其内涵之一就是打造现代版的互联互通,这与东盟的互联互通总体规划不谋而合。不论中国还是东盟,都对互联互通建设充满需求。本文主体部分首先对“一带一路”战略下互联互通的内涵和愿景进行辨析,并梳理了互联互通中政策沟通、设施联通、贸易畅通、资金融通、民心相通五大领域的最新进展。其次,文章讨论了中国一东盟互联互通合作的深层次动机,并分析了互联互通通过规模经济效应、贸易创造效应、竞争效应和规范行为效应这四种机制对社会经济活动产生影响。再次,文章总结了互联互通对中国经济的影响,并借鉴引力模型,以计量的方法测算互联互通建设分别为进口、出口贸易方面所带来的经济效应。随后,文章简述了互联互通对东盟的战略利益。研究结果表明,互联互通极大地促进了中国与东盟的经贸往来、获得了更多利益。因此,中国-东盟合作推动互联互通建设符合双方利益要求。同时,文章也指出,互联互通的推进将遇到政治、经济方面的挑战。针对这些挑战,文章提出了相应对策。
[Abstract]:Belt and Road has opened up a new chapter in the history of connectivity between China and the world. One of the connotations of Belt and Road's strategic concept is to create a modern version of connectivity, which coincides with ASEAN's overall plan for connectivity. Both China and ASEAN are full of demand for interconnection. The main part of this paper first analyzes the connotation and vision of interconnection under Belt and Road's strategy, and combs the latest progress in the five major fields of policy communication, facility connectivity, smooth trade, capital financing, and mutual communication among the people. Secondly, the paper discusses the deep motive of the cooperation between China and ASEAN, and analyzes the scale economy effect and trade creation effect of interconnection. The four mechanisms of competition effect and normative behavior effect have an impact on social and economic activities. Thirdly, the paper summarizes the influence of interconnection on Chinese economy, and uses gravity model for reference to measure the economic effects of interconnection construction on import and export trade by econometric method. Subsequently, the article briefly describes the strategic interests of connectivity to ASEAN. The results show that interconnection greatly promotes the economic and trade exchanges between China and ASEAN and gains more benefits. Therefore, China-ASEAN cooperation to promote interconnection in line with the interests of both sides. At the same time, the article also pointed out that the promotion of connectivity will meet political and economic challenges. In view of these challenges, the paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures.
【学位授予单位】：福建师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F125

【相似文献】