金砖五国服务贸易对经济增长影响的比较分析

发布时间：2019-03-12 17:26

【摘要】：金砖五国是新兴的经济体,经济发展迅速,其经济增长与发展逐渐成为研究的热门课题。国际贸易使各国通过产品进口满足国内的需求以及产品出口增加国内总产出,从而促进经济发展。近几十年对国际贸易的关注从有形物品贸易逐渐扩展到无形服务交易,也就是服务贸易。服务贸易是国际贸易的一部分,能否对经济增长产生影响以及其影响力如何,都是研究的热门问题。金砖五国处于经济转型期,其经济发展需要强劲的推动力,论文通过分析服务贸易对经济增长的影响,探寻经济增长的新动力,努力克服可持续发展道路上的挑战。论文结合定性和定量的分析方法,定性分析服务贸易对经济增长影响的相关理论和影响路径,同时比较分析服务贸易现状,并运用计量经济学方法选取1994-2014年面板数据对二者关系进行实证检验。论文共分为五章:第一章是导论,介绍论文选题的背景、研究意义以及主要内容框架,并梳理国内外研究文献综述。第二章是理论分析,首先总结服务贸易对经济产生影响的相关理论,然后分析产生影响的路径。第三章是五国服务贸易发展现状的比较,从规模、结构以及竞争力方面展开论述。第四章是实证,选取1994-2014年面板数据构建计量经济学模型,从整体上验证金砖五国服务贸易对经济增长存在促进影响,又分别对五国进行单独研究,横向比较各国对经济影响的差异。第五章是结论和建议,梳理全文,结合我国服务贸易现状,提出适合我国服务贸易发展的建议。研究结果发现:金砖五国服务贸易发展中存在不平衡;竞争力水平与发展规模不匹配;服务贸易对经济增长具有促进作用,并且五国之间对经济影响存在差异。
[Abstract]:The BRICS countries are emerging economies, with rapid economic development, and their economic growth and development have become a hot topic of research. International trade has enabled countries to promote economic development through the use of product imports to meet domestic demand and to increase the total domestic output of products. The interest of international trade in recent decades has gradually expanded from tangible goods to intangible service transactions, namely, trade in services. Service trade is a part of international trade, whether it can affect economic growth and how its influence is, it is a hot issue of research. The BRICS countries are in the economic transition, and their economic development needs a strong driving force. The paper, through the analysis of the influence of service trade on economic growth, explores the new impetus of economic growth and tries to overcome the challenges on the road of sustainable development. The paper combines qualitative and quantitative analysis method, qualitative analysis of the relevant theory and influence path of service trade on economic growth, and compares the current situation of service trade, and uses econometric method to select the relation between the panel data of 1994-2014 and the relationship between the two. The paper is divided into five chapters: the first chapter is the introduction, the background, the research significance and the main content framework of the thesis, and the review of the research literature at home and abroad. The second chapter is the theoretical analysis, first summarizes the correlation theory of the service trade on the economy, and then analyzes the affected path. The third chapter is the comparison of the current situation of the development of the five-nation service trade, which is discussed from the aspects of scale, structure and competitiveness. The fourth chapter is an empirical study of the econometrics model of the panel data from 1994 to 2014. The fifth chapter is the conclusion and suggestion, combing the full text, combining the present situation of our country's service trade, and putting forward the suggestion for the development of the service trade of our country. The results show that there is an imbalance in the development of the service trade of the Brics. The level of competitiveness and the scale of development do not match, the service trade has a catalytic effect on the growth of the economy, and there is a difference between the five countries on the economic impact.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F746.18;F113

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