福建省流通产业碳排放影响因素实证研究——基于Tapio弹性脱钩理论和LMDI分解法

发布时间：2018-01-23 07:33

本文关键词： Tapio弹性脱钩理论对数平均指标分解法福建省流通产业碳排放　出处：《福建农林大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2016年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：通过构建弹性脱钩模型探究福建省流通产业碳排放脱钩的动态演变过程。结果表明,福建省流通产业的发展未表现出显著的碳排放脱钩趋势,脱钩状态大致呈现"弱脱钩-扩张性耦合-扩张性负脱钩"的阶段性特征,存在复钩的可能。同时,结合LMDI分解项进一步发现:(1)流通产业的经济增长弹性对碳排放脱钩具有正向影响效应,是引致碳排放增长和限制流通产业碳排放脱钩的主导因素;(2)流通产业的能源结构相对稳定,对于产业低碳转型的影响尚未显现;(3)流通产业能源利用效率波动明显,对流通产业碳排放脱钩的影响较大,但同时也是抑制碳排放的关键要素。基于此,从制定合理的产业发展规模、优化能源结构、提高能源利用效率、发展碳合作市场等方面提出对策建议。
[Abstract]:The dynamic evolution process of carbon emission decoupling in Fujian circulation industry is explored by constructing elastic decoupling model. The results show that the development of circulation industry in Fujian Province does not show a significant trend of carbon emission decoupling. The state of decoupling shows the stage characteristic of "weak decoupling-dilated coupling-dilated negative decoupling", and there is the possibility of complex hook at the same time. Combined with the decomposition term of LMDI, it is further found that the economic growth elasticity of circulation industry has a positive effect on carbon emission decoupling, which is the leading factor leading to carbon emission growth and limiting carbon emission decoupling in circulation industry. 2) the energy structure of the circulation industry is relatively stable, and the impact on the low-carbon transformation of the industry has not been shown. 3) the energy utilization efficiency of circulation industry fluctuates obviously, which has great influence on carbon emission decoupling of circulation industry, but it is also the key factor to restrain carbon emission. To optimize energy structure, improve energy use efficiency, and develop carbon cooperation market, and so on, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【作者单位】：福建师范大学经济学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社科青年基金项目(12YJC630220) 国家社科基金青年项目(14CJL001)
【分类号】：F724;X196
【正文快照】： 一、研究背景与文献综述发展低碳经济、实现节能减排是我国经济可持续发展的重大战略。发展低碳循环经济,大力推进生态文明建设早已列入我国政府经济工作的中长期规划。作为海峡西岸经济区重要的经济综合体和能源消耗大省,福建省也在“十二五”控制温室气体排放实施方案中提出

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