基于耗散结构理论的区域主导产业选择研究

发布时间：2018-02-24 04:53

本文关键词： 主导产业耗散结构有序度区域经济系统　出处：《大连理工大学》2007年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 区域经济发展的历史表明，经济的整体发展与主导产业的存在与发展有着很大的相关性。在其他条件相同的背景下，一个没有主导产业、各个产业平行推进的区域里，经济不可能取得快速健康发展。区域经济系统是一个动态的不断演变的系统，，主导产业是区域经济系统内各个产业之间竞争与协同作用的结果，主导产业与非主导产业交互作用和发展，形成了有序的区域产业结构。在这种认识的基础上，用系统论的观点对区域主导产业的选择进行研究就具有重要的理论意义。本文从区域经济系统自身的发展规律入手，基于耗散结构理论的思想，采用定性分析和定量研究相结合的方法，理论分析和实证研究相结合的方法，对区域主导产业选择进行了研究。首先，论文使用定性分析的方法，论述了耗散结构理论的基本内涵、熵对耗散结构的表述；分别对区域经济系统的静态和动态耗散结构特征进行了分析，论述了耗散结构特征决定了区域经济系统具有自组织演化性，提出区域主导产业是推进区域经济系统自组织演化的序参量。随后，论文使用定量研究的方法，从区域产业结构入手，分别用联系熵和运行熵对区域产业结构有序度进行静态评价和动态考察。基于主导产业部门的特征和区域产业经济发展现状，确定需求收入弹性、生产率上升率、产业关联度、市场占有率和比较利税率五个主导产业选择基准，建立了包含有六个具体指标的区域主导产业选择指标体系，采用基于遗传算法求得最优解的投影寻踪评价方法对区域经济主导产业选择进行评价分析，遴选出区域的主导产业。最后，对辽宁省的主导产业选择进行了实证分析，并得出结论，确定石油化工产业和装备制造业为辽宁省重点培育的主导产业。
[Abstract]:The history of regional economic development shows that the overall development of economy is closely related to the existence and development of leading industries. The regional economic system is a dynamic and evolving system, and the leading industry is the result of competition and synergy among various industries in the regional economic system. The interaction and development of leading industry and non-leading industry form an orderly regional industrial structure. On the basis of this understanding, it is of great theoretical significance to study the choice of regional leading industry from the viewpoint of system theory. Based on the theory of dissipative structure, this paper starts with the development law of regional economic system, adopts the method of combining qualitative analysis with quantitative research, and combines theoretical analysis with empirical research. The selection of regional leading industries is studied. First of all, the paper discusses the basic connotation of dissipative structure theory and entropy representation of dissipative structure, and analyzes the static and dynamic dissipative structure characteristics of regional economic system. The characteristics of dissipative structure determine the self-organization and evolution of regional economic system. It is proposed that regional leading industry is the order parameter to promote self-organization evolution of regional economic system. Then, using the quantitative research method, the paper starts with the regional industrial structure. Based on the characteristics of leading industrial sector and the current situation of regional industrial economy development, the elasticity of demand income, the rate of productivity increase, and the degree of industrial correlation are determined by using contact entropy and operational entropy to evaluate the orderly degree of regional industrial structure. Market share and comparative profit and tax rate of five leading industry selection benchmarks, including the establishment of six specific indicators of regional leading industry selection index system, The projection pursuit evaluation method based on genetic algorithm is used to evaluate and analyze the selection of leading industries in regional economy, and the leading industries of regions are selected. Finally, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the choice of leading industries in Liaoning Province, and draws a conclusion that petrochemical industry and equipment manufacturing industry are the leading industries in Liaoning Province.
【学位授予单位】：大连理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2007
【分类号】：F062.9

【引证文献】