碳价冲击对我国制造业的影响分析

发布时间：2018-04-15 22:20

本文选题：碳减排政策 + 碳价格　；参考：《暨南大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：2014年11月12日中美两国在北京发表气候变化联合声明,我国首次正式提出2030年左右碳排放有望达到峰值,这既表明了中国继续走绿色发展道路的决心,也对建立全国范围的碳减排市场提出了新的要求,而碳减排政策的实施将通过引入碳价格的方式对我国经济各方面产生潜在影响。碳市场形成的碳价格会影响制造业各分行业成本的变动,从而导致经济增长水平、能源消费量及要素市场价格的改变。论文采用2001-2011年中国制造业各行业GDP水平、碳排放量、能源消耗量、人力资本及物质资本等数据,以60元每吨碳价水平为基准测算碳价冲击对制造业总体及各分行业的影响。结果表明:碳价冲击有助于提高制造业整体的经济增长水平,减少生产过程中对能源要素的需求,并可能改变要素市场上各要素的相对价格。为了进一步研究不同制造业行业的异质性,论文将27个目标行业划分为高碳行业和低碳行业,研究这两种不同类型的行业组在受到气候政策规制时对相关指标的影响,研究显示,无论是低碳行业还是高碳行业,碳减排政策都有助于提升产出水平,但对这两类行业能源消耗的影响不同,其中高碳行业在受到碳价冲击时会增加资本要素的投入水平,以替代原有的能源要素需求;而低碳行业并没有显著减少对能源要素的需求。
[Abstract]:In a joint statement on climate change issued by China and the United States in Beijing on November 12, 2014, China formally proposed for the first time that its carbon emissions could reach a peak around 2030, indicating China's determination to continue to follow the path of green development.The implementation of carbon abatement policy will have a potential impact on all aspects of China's economy through the introduction of carbon price.The carbon price formed by the carbon market will affect the cost changes of manufacturing industries, which will lead to the change of economic growth level, energy consumption and factor market price.Based on the data of GDP, carbon emissions, energy consumption, human capital and physical capital in China's manufacturing industry from 2001 to 2011, the paper measures the impact of carbon price shock on manufacturing industry as a whole and on the basis of 60 yuan per ton carbon price.The results show that the carbon price shock can improve the economic growth level of manufacturing industry as a whole, reduce the demand for energy factors in the production process, and possibly change the relative price of each factor in the factor market.In order to further study the heterogeneity of different manufacturing industries, 27 target industries are divided into high carbon industry and low carbon industry.Research shows that carbon reduction policies help to boost output in both low-carbon and high-carbon industries, but have different effects on energy consumption in these two industries.The high carbon industry will increase the investment level of capital factor to replace the original energy factor demand when it is hit by carbon price, but the low carbon industry does not reduce the energy factor demand significantly.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F424;X196

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