经济增长理论若干问题的研究与实证分析
发布时间:2018-06-12 02:44
本文选题:生产函数 + 索洛余值 ; 参考:《华侨大学》2000年硕士论文
【摘要】: 本文在吸收和借鉴国内外经济增长理论研究成果的基础上,通过严密的数理分析,对经济增长理 论的若干问题进行了探索,并运用经济计量学的思想方法,对中国和中国部分省(区、市)的经济增 长情况进行了实证分析。最后,基于理论研究和实证分析结果,对经济的高质持续发展提出了若干政 策建议。 本文研究的结构体系与主要结果如下: 本文的引言部分,是全文的总纲。然后,按内容的逻辑顺序分五个部分展开。 第一章,导论。这一章是本文分析的逻辑起点。本章首先介绍了经济增长理论的相关概念,简要 回顾了经济增长理论的产生和发展过程,并提出了较符合经济实际的经济增长方式转变的衡量指标体 系,然后对迄今为止经济增长模型中所涉及的生产函数的具体形式进行了分类归纳。 第二章,关于生产函数的新思考。这一章是本文研究的理论重点之一。本章介绍了自古以来经济 学家对资本积累重要作用的论述,指出以往累积形成的生产成果是本期生产顺利进行的前提和基础。 纵观已经建立的生产函数和对之进行的实证分析,可以发现,在对如何定性描述和定量测算以往累积 的资本对本期产出的重要作用这个问题上几乎无人涉及。鉴于此,本章建立了既考虑以往生产累积的 资本对本期产出的基础性影响,同时又考虑本期投入对本期产出的重要作用的新型生产函数-动态生 产函数,并以柯布-道格拉斯生产函数形式作为以后实证分析的基础。 第三章,关于科技进步的新思考。这一章是本文理论研究的另一个重点。知识经济的兴起和我国 “两个根本转变”目标的提出,掀起了对经济增长源泉探索和经济增长方式转变研究的热潮。通常, 将科技进步对经济增长率贡献份额的大小作为评价经济增长质量的重要指标。但在科技进步概念及其 度量这一问题上,学者们所持的观点却莫衷一是,有的学者将科技进步等同于索洛余值,,有的学者则 将之等同于全要素生产率变化,由此也产生了不同的度量方法。本章从生产函数的一般定义和全要素 生产率的一般定义出发,通过严密的数学推导解决了这一问题。本章的理论创新在于:一.对索洛余值 进行了分解,阐释了索洛余值的经济意义,解决了长期以来索洛余值经济内涵不明确的难题;二.得到 了非规模报酬不变条件下的产出增长方程,为评价经济增长质量和为政府部门的宏观经济决策提供了 科学的理论依据。 第四章,实证分析。本章在上述理论分析的基础上,采用历史数据,对改革开放以来中国及中国 部分省(区、市)和闽东南地区的经济增长情况进行了实证分析。主要结果如下:一.与柯布——道格 拉斯生产函数相比,动态生产函数较符合中国和中国地区经济发展的实际;二.与其他学者测得的技术 进步对经济增长率较高的贡献份额相比,本文的测算结果偏低,主要原因是在他们的测算结果中有一 部分是以往累积资本的贡献。三.与对东部地区的投资相比,加大对中西部地区的投资能取得更好的比 较收益。四.闽东南地区的经济增长方式正在由粗放型向集约型转变,但其经济发展仍未彻底摆脱粗放 经营的增长模式。 第五章,总结。在前几章理论研究和实证分析的基础上,本章进行了总结归纳,并提出了相应的 政策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the study of economic growth theory at home and abroad , this paper analyzes the economic growth through rigorous mathematical analysis .
Some problems have been explored , and the economic growth of some provinces ( districts and cities ) in China and China is increased by using the thought method of econometrics .
Finally , based on the results of theoretical research and empirical analysis , a number of governments have been put forward on the high quality and sustainable development of the economy
Policy advice .
The structure and main results of this paper are as follows :
The introduction part of this paper is the general outline of the whole text . Then , it is divided into five parts according to the logic sequence of the content .
Chapter One , Introduction . This chapter is the logical starting point of the analysis . Firstly , this chapter introduces the relevant concepts of economic growth theory , and gives a brief introduction to this chapter .
This paper reviews the production and development process of economic growth theory , and puts forward some measures to measure the economic growth pattern .
Then , the concrete form of the production function involved in the economic growth model so far is classified and summarized .
The second chapter is about the new thinking of production function . This chapter is one of the theoretical emphases of this paper . This chapter introduces the economy since ancient times
The discussion on the important function of capital accumulation points out that the production achievements accumulated in the past are the prerequisite and basis for the smooth production of the current period .
Based on the established production function and the empirical analysis of it , we can find out how to calculate and calculate the previous accumulation in the qualitative description and quantitative calculation .
The important role of capital in the current period is hardly related to this issue . In view of this , this chapter establishes both the consideration of past production and accumulation .
Capital has a fundamental impact on the output of the current period , while taking into consideration the new production function of the important role of investment in the current period in the current period - dynamic life
The production function is used as the basis for the future empirical analysis in the form of the Kolb - Douglas production function .
The third chapter is about the new thinking about scientific and technological progress . This chapter is another focus of the study of this paper . The rise of knowledge economy and our country
The goal of " two fundamental changes " raised the upsurge of research on the source of economic growth and the transformation of economic growth mode . Generally ,
The size of contribution of scientific and technological progress to economic growth rate is regarded as an important index to evaluate the quality of economic growth , but in the concept of scientific and technological progress ,
On this issue , scholars hold the view that some scholars have made scientific and technological progress equal to the value of Solow , some scholars
This chapter is equivalent to the whole factor productivity change , which also produces different metric methods . This chapter begins with the general definition and the full elements of the production function
Based on the general definition of productivity , this problem is solved through rigorous mathematical derivation . The theoretical innovation of this chapter is : 1 . Solow residual value
At last , the author explains the economic significance of Solow ' s residual value , and solves the problem that the economic connotation of Solow ' s residual value is ambiguous for a long time .
II . get
The output growth equation under the condition of non - scale compensation is provided . In order to evaluate the quality of economic growth and to provide the macro - economic decision - making for government departments
Theoretical basis of science .
Chapter four , empirical analysis . On the basis of the above - mentioned theoretical analysis , this chapter applies historical data to China and China since the reform and opening - up .
The economic growth of some provinces ( districts , cities ) and Southeast Fujian is analyzed empirically . The main results are as follows : 1 . With Curb _ Doug
Compared with the production function , the dynamic production function is in accord with the reality of economic development in China and China .
II . Techniques measured with other scholars
Compared with the contribution share of higher economic growth rate , the calculation result of this paper is low , mainly because of their calculation results .
Part is the contribution of accumulated capital in the past . Increase investment in central and western regions better than investment in the eastern region
It ' s more profitable . The mode of economic growth in the Southeast of Fujian is changing from extensive to intensive , but its economic development is still not completely out of extensive
The mode of growth of business .
In chapter 5 , summing up . On the basis of the previous chapters ' theoretical research and empirical analysis , this chapter summarizes and sums up and puts forward the corresponding measures .
Policy recommendations .
【学位授予单位】:华侨大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2000
【分类号】:F06
【引证文献】
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3 孙凯;科技进步与经济增长相关性研究[D];西北大学;2006年
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3 王瑞;陕西省物流业发展现状及对策研究[D];西安理工大学;2006年
4 靳丽贤;河北省主导产业对经济增长的影响研究[D];河北工业大学;2005年
5 李媛媛;河北省农业经济增长方式转变实证分析研究[D];河北农业大学;2006年
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