产业结构合理性分析与调整研究
发布时间：2018-08-13 13:59
【摘要】：经济发展理论和实践表明，产业结构与经济的稳定发展有着内在联系。产业结构是一个动态结构，随着技术进步、经济发展、国际经济环境和消费观念等的变化，它需要发生相应变化。当产业结构适应上述因素变化时，它就合理，当产业结构不适应上述因素变化时，它就不合理。产业结构合理性分析是对产业结构状态的评价，由于经济系统本身的复杂性，我们不能直接观察产业结构是否合理，需要应用科学分析来评价产业结构的合理性。 本文根据产业经济学理论和多个国家统计数据，采用多目标决策、统计、模糊数学和综合评判等数学方法，对产业结构合理性的分析方法进行了全面、系统的研究，对不完善的分析方法进行了改进，并提出了一些新的分析方法。 当产业结构不合理时，需要对它进行调整，使其转向合理，以保持经济的稳定和发展，这也是产业结构合理性分析的目的。本文应用现代控制理论对产业结构调整决策和控制的方法进行了讨论。 传统的方法以经济增长理论为基础，对产业结构合理性分析与调整进行研究。本文以可持续发展理论为基础，对产业结构合理性分析与调整进行理论和应用研究。 本论文的研究内容如下： 1．产业结构合理性判断基准 影响经济稳定和发展的因素有多种，，不能仅仅根据经济是否稳定和发展来评判产业结构的合理性。为了分析产业结构合理性，人们提出产业结构合理性判断基准，依据判断基准建立相应的分析方法，应用所建立的分析方法来分析产业结构合理性。在传统经济增长理论下人们建立了产业间比例判断基准和产业关联判断基准，随着可持续发展理论逐渐取代传统经济增长理论，仅有这两个判断基准已显得不足。为此，本文增添了产业结构影响环境状况和产业结构影响自然资源利用两个判断基准，完善了可持续发展理论下产业结构合理性判断基准。 2．产业间比例合理性分析 产业间比例合理性分析研究包括3项内容：一是参照结构研究；二是产业结构与参照结构差异度量研究；三是合理性判断规则研究。 产业间比例合理性分析需要参照结构，目前应用的参照结构主要包括需求结构和三次产业结构模式，这两个参照结构动态地反映出合理的产业间比 第ii页 西南交通大学博士研究生学位论文 例，有其科学的地方，但也有不足。为此，本文提出了新的参照结构，以弥 补其不足。 目前还缺乏适当的产业结构与参照结构差异的度量方法，因而在分析实 际问题时，难以对一些合理度介于合理与不合理之间的产业结构的合理性做 出判断。论文引入了Hamming贴近度来度量产业结构与参照结构差异，并 应用多个国家的统计资料，建立了产业间比例合理性判断规则。 3.产业关联合理性分析 产业关联合理性分析包括产业技术关联合理性分析和产业交换关联合 理性分析。目前产业技术关联分析方法仅从物耗的角度，对产业结构进行分 析。通常技术水平从两个方面给予描述，一是物耗水平;二是劳动生产率水 平。为此，本文提出相对劳动生产率分析法，完善了产业技术关联分析方法。 产业交换关联分析的主要方法是变动系数法，该方法应用投入产出模型 中的技术矩阵度量产业交换关联规模，并根据产业交换关联规模随经济增长 的变化规律，对产业结构进行分析。产业交换关联规模取决于社会分工的水 平，然而随着技术进步的发生，技术矩阵中的元素直接消耗系数将发生变化， 这将影响产业交换关联规模的度量，变动系数法没有消除技术进步对直接消 耗系数的影响，因而在分析具体问题时可能得出错误的结论。为此，本文提 出了直接消耗系数调整分析法，弥补了该方法的不足。 4.产业结构影响环境状况和自然资源利用分析 依据产业结构影响环境状况判断基准和产业结构影响自然资源利用判断 基准，本文应用绿色投入产出模型，结合环境经济学的理论，建立了产业结 构影响环境状况和产业结构影响自然资源利用程度的度量指标，并根据这些 指标建立了产业结构合理性分析方法。 5.产业结构调整 应用现代控制理论，对产业结构调整决策和控制进行了研究，建立了产 业间比例调整过程优化模型和产业结构调整过程控制模型，并应用极小值原 理和非线性规划等数学方法对模型的求解给予了讨论。 关键词:产业结构;产业结构合理性;产业间比例;产业关联;产业结构调 整
[Abstract]:The theory and practice of economic development show that the industrial structure is intrinsically related to the stable development of the economy.The industrial structure is a dynamic structure.With the changes of technological progress, economic development, international economic environment and consumption concept, it needs to change correspondingly.When the industrial structure adapts to the changes of the above-mentioned factors, it is reasonable. The rationality analysis of industrial structure is an evaluation of the state of industrial structure. Because of the complexity of the economic system itself, we can not directly observe whether the industrial structure is reasonable. We need to apply scientific analysis to evaluate the rationality of industrial structure.
Based on the theory of industrial economics and the statistical data of many countries, this paper makes a comprehensive and systematic study on the analysis methods of the rationality of industrial structure by using the mathematical methods of multi-objective decision-making, statistics, fuzzy mathematics and comprehensive evaluation, improves the imperfect analysis methods, and puts forward some new analysis methods.
When the industrial structure is unreasonable, it is necessary to adjust it so as to make it more reasonable in order to maintain the stability and development of the economy. This is also the purpose of the analysis of the rationality of the industrial structure.
The traditional method is based on the economic growth theory to study the rationality analysis and adjustment of industrial structure.
The research contents of this thesis are as follows:
1. criteria for judging the rationality of industrial structure
There are many factors affecting the stability and development of the economy. We can not judge the rationality of the industrial structure only according to the stability and development of the economy. Under the traditional economic growth theory, people have established the benchmark of judging the proportion between industries and the correlation between industries. As the sustainable development theory gradually replaces the traditional economic growth theory, only these two benchmarks are insufficient. The two benchmarks for judging the rationality of industrial structure under the theory of sustainable development are perfected.
Analysis of proportional rationality between 2. industries
The analysis and Research on the rationality of inter-industry proportion includes three contents: first, the research on reference structure; second, the research on the measurement of the difference between industrial structure and reference structure; third, the research on the rules of rationality judgment.
Rationality analysis of inter-industry ratio needs reference structure. At present, the reference structure mainly includes demand structure and three industrial structure models. These two reference structures dynamically reflect reasonable inter-industry ratio.
Page II
Doctoral dissertations of Southwest Jiao Tong University
For example, there are scientific aspects, but there are also deficiencies. Therefore, this article puts forward a new reference structure.
Make up for its deficiency.
At present, there is still a lack of appropriate measurement methods for the differences between industrial structure and reference structure, so it is necessary to analyze the actual situation.
It is difficult to rationalize the industrial structure between rationality and irrationality when dealing with international problems.
In this paper, Hamming closeness degree is introduced to measure the difference between industrial structure and reference structure.
Based on the statistical data of several countries, the rule of reasonableness of industrial proportions has been established.
The rationality analysis of 3. industry relevance
The rationality analysis of industrial connection includes the rationality analysis of industrial technology connection and the integration of industrial exchange.
Rational analysis. At present, the industrial technology correlation analysis method only divides the industrial structure from the angle of material consumption.
Usually the technical level is described from two aspects: the level of material consumption and the level of labor productivity.
Therefore, this paper puts forward the relative labor productivity analysis method, which perfects the industrial technology correlation analysis method.
The main method of industrial exchange correlation analysis is variable coefficient method, which applies input-output model.
The technological matrix in this paper measures the scale of industrial exchange correlation, and according to the scale of industrial exchange correlation with economic growth
The size of industrial exchange relevancy depends on the water of social division of labor.
However, with the development of technology, the direct consumption coefficient of elements in the technical matrix will change.
This will affect the measurement of the related scale of industrial exchange, and the variable coefficient method does not eliminate the direct elimination of technological progress.
The influence of the dissipation coefficient may lead to wrong conclusions in the analysis of specific problems.
The direct consumption coefficient adjustment analysis method has made up for the deficiency of the method.
Analysis of 4. industrial structure affecting environment and natural resources utilization
Judgment criteria based on the impact of industrial structure on environment and the impact of industrial structure on the utilization of natural resources
According to the benchmark, this paper applies the green input-output model and the theory of environmental economics to establish the industrial structure.
Construct and use these indicators to measure the impact of environmental conditions and industrial structure on the use of natural resources.
Indicators set up an analysis method for the rationality of industrial structure.
5. industrial restructuring
With the application of modern control theory, the decision and control of industrial structure adjustment have been studied.
Inter-industry Proportional Adjustment Process Optimization Model and Industrial Structure Adjustment Process Control Model, and Application of Minimum Primitive
Mathematical models such as theory and nonlinear programming are discussed.
Key words: industrial structure; industrial structure rationality; inter industry ratio; industrial linkage; industrial structure adjustment
whole
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2004
【分类号】：F062.9
本文编号：2181195
[Abstract]:The theory and practice of economic development show that the industrial structure is intrinsically related to the stable development of the economy.The industrial structure is a dynamic structure.With the changes of technological progress, economic development, international economic environment and consumption concept, it needs to change correspondingly.When the industrial structure adapts to the changes of the above-mentioned factors, it is reasonable. The rationality analysis of industrial structure is an evaluation of the state of industrial structure. Because of the complexity of the economic system itself, we can not directly observe whether the industrial structure is reasonable. We need to apply scientific analysis to evaluate the rationality of industrial structure.
Based on the theory of industrial economics and the statistical data of many countries, this paper makes a comprehensive and systematic study on the analysis methods of the rationality of industrial structure by using the mathematical methods of multi-objective decision-making, statistics, fuzzy mathematics and comprehensive evaluation, improves the imperfect analysis methods, and puts forward some new analysis methods.
When the industrial structure is unreasonable, it is necessary to adjust it so as to make it more reasonable in order to maintain the stability and development of the economy. This is also the purpose of the analysis of the rationality of the industrial structure.
The traditional method is based on the economic growth theory to study the rationality analysis and adjustment of industrial structure.
The research contents of this thesis are as follows:
1. criteria for judging the rationality of industrial structure
There are many factors affecting the stability and development of the economy. We can not judge the rationality of the industrial structure only according to the stability and development of the economy. Under the traditional economic growth theory, people have established the benchmark of judging the proportion between industries and the correlation between industries. As the sustainable development theory gradually replaces the traditional economic growth theory, only these two benchmarks are insufficient. The two benchmarks for judging the rationality of industrial structure under the theory of sustainable development are perfected.
Analysis of proportional rationality between 2. industries
The analysis and Research on the rationality of inter-industry proportion includes three contents: first, the research on reference structure; second, the research on the measurement of the difference between industrial structure and reference structure; third, the research on the rules of rationality judgment.
Rationality analysis of inter-industry ratio needs reference structure. At present, the reference structure mainly includes demand structure and three industrial structure models. These two reference structures dynamically reflect reasonable inter-industry ratio.
Page II
Doctoral dissertations of Southwest Jiao Tong University
For example, there are scientific aspects, but there are also deficiencies. Therefore, this article puts forward a new reference structure.
Make up for its deficiency.
At present, there is still a lack of appropriate measurement methods for the differences between industrial structure and reference structure, so it is necessary to analyze the actual situation.
It is difficult to rationalize the industrial structure between rationality and irrationality when dealing with international problems.
In this paper, Hamming closeness degree is introduced to measure the difference between industrial structure and reference structure.
Based on the statistical data of several countries, the rule of reasonableness of industrial proportions has been established.
The rationality analysis of 3. industry relevance
The rationality analysis of industrial connection includes the rationality analysis of industrial technology connection and the integration of industrial exchange.
Rational analysis. At present, the industrial technology correlation analysis method only divides the industrial structure from the angle of material consumption.
Usually the technical level is described from two aspects: the level of material consumption and the level of labor productivity.
Therefore, this paper puts forward the relative labor productivity analysis method, which perfects the industrial technology correlation analysis method.
The main method of industrial exchange correlation analysis is variable coefficient method, which applies input-output model.
The technological matrix in this paper measures the scale of industrial exchange correlation, and according to the scale of industrial exchange correlation with economic growth
The size of industrial exchange relevancy depends on the water of social division of labor.
However, with the development of technology, the direct consumption coefficient of elements in the technical matrix will change.
This will affect the measurement of the related scale of industrial exchange, and the variable coefficient method does not eliminate the direct elimination of technological progress.
The influence of the dissipation coefficient may lead to wrong conclusions in the analysis of specific problems.
The direct consumption coefficient adjustment analysis method has made up for the deficiency of the method.
Analysis of 4. industrial structure affecting environment and natural resources utilization
Judgment criteria based on the impact of industrial structure on environment and the impact of industrial structure on the utilization of natural resources
According to the benchmark, this paper applies the green input-output model and the theory of environmental economics to establish the industrial structure.
Construct and use these indicators to measure the impact of environmental conditions and industrial structure on the use of natural resources.
Indicators set up an analysis method for the rationality of industrial structure.
5. industrial restructuring
With the application of modern control theory, the decision and control of industrial structure adjustment have been studied.
Inter-industry Proportional Adjustment Process Optimization Model and Industrial Structure Adjustment Process Control Model, and Application of Minimum Primitive
Mathematical models such as theory and nonlinear programming are discussed.
Key words: industrial structure; industrial structure rationality; inter industry ratio; industrial linkage; industrial structure adjustment
whole
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2004
【分类号】：F062.9
【引证文献】
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