经济虚拟化背景下的经济增长的原因和机制研究
发布时间：2018-08-22 20:41
【摘要】： 经济增长的原因、内在机制以及实现途径,历来就是经济理论研究中的核心问题。这个问题是如此迷人,赢得无数经济学家为之竞折腰。 自亚当·斯密发表《国富论》至今,历经哈罗德—多马、索洛、李嘉图和马尔萨斯、卡尔多等人,经济增长理论洋洋大观,但由于与当时经济发展的阶段所对应,在相当长的时期内,经济学家普遍关注的经济增长是指实体经济,而且几乎都集中于阐述资本积累、劳动力增长和技术进步等实际经济变量与国民收入增长之间的关系,并且运用了许多复杂的模型对它们之间关系进行了表述。然而,当代经济增长的历史现实早已今非昔比了:伴随着经济的快速增长,以债券、股票等为代表的虚拟资本数量在不断膨胀,结构也在不断地发生着调整,特别是进入20世纪70年代后,虚拟资本的数量出现了加速度的增长,经济的虚拟化成为经济发展的一个的重要特色。 这就促使我们提出这样的一个问题:在经济虚拟化背景下经济增长的主要动力是什么,在实体经济占主导地位的条件下得出来的经济增长理论依然适合吗?如果不是的话,新的经济增长模型又该如何构建呢?本文的研究主题是经济虚拟化背景下的经济增长的原因和机制,作者希望通过研究来构建经济虚拟化背景下的新经济增长模型,并提出在和谐社会建设背景下的经济发展的政策建议。 本文首先试图梳理经济增长理论的发展史,探讨各种主要的经济增长理论的关注核心、其经济学意义及其存在的缺陷或局限性,对传统经济增长理论提出了批判,并指出了在人的因素参与到经济金融系统中后经济增长理论的可能方向;之后从虚拟经济的概念与发展入手,回顾了虚拟经济的基本内涵和发展现况,结合本人的理解,着重分析了经济虚拟化背景下经济增长的复杂性;为此笔者着重引入了期望的概念,试图对经济增长作人性化的解释,从期望的内涵、认知发展、期望与经济增长的国际经验等入手阐述了期望与经济增长的关系,并提出了期望价值论和期望强国论等独特论点;在上述理论的支撑下,本人提出了基于期望的虚拟财富、投资及内生增长模型,并给予了实证检验。在本文的最后部分,从实际操作的角度出发,对我国市场经济的进一步发展提出了合理的政策建议。 经济虚拟化背景下,经济的运行变得更加复杂,虚拟经济是一把“双刃剑”:运行的好便可为实体经济动员储蓄、提供融资支持,分散经营风险、降低交易成本,揭示和传递实体经济的信息、提高实体经济运行的效率,促进资源的优化效率、提高实体经济的效益,还会通过财富效应刺激消费和投资需求、拉动实体经济的增长。但虚拟经济的发展也会在一定程度上对实体经济产生负面影响,例如减少进入实体经济的资金,降低金融资源的利用效率,出现经济泡沫,增加实体经济的运行不稳定性和投机风险等。因此,以人的行为因素研究为基础,建立和维持人们的信心为导向的宏观政策体系,以从根源上控制虚拟经济向有利面发展,对整个国民经济发展意义重大。希望本文能为我国的经济的健康发展起到一定的推动作用。
[Abstract]:The reason for economic growth, the internal mechanism and the way to achieve it, has always been the core issue in economic theory research. This issue is so fascinating that it has won numerous economists to bend over.
Since Adam Smith published the Wealth of Nations, after Harold-Thomas, Solo, Ricardo and Malthus, Carlo and other people, the theory of economic growth is vast, but because of the corresponding stage of economic development at that time, in a fairly long period of time, economists generally concerned about economic growth is the real economy, and almost all concentrated. However, the historical reality of contemporary economic growth is far from the past: with the rapid growth of the economy, bonds, stocks, etc. The number and structure of the virtual capital are constantly expanding. Especially in the 1970s, the number of the virtual capital has accelerated. The economic virtualization has become an important feature of economic development.
This prompts us to ask such a question: what is the main driving force of economic growth in the context of economic virtualization, and whether the economic growth theory derived from the dominant real economy is still suitable? If not, how to build a new economic growth model? The theme of this paper is economic virtualization. The author hopes to construct a new economic growth model under the background of economic virtualization by studying the causes and mechanisms of economic growth under the background of economic virtualization, and put forward policy recommendations for economic development under the background of building a harmonious society.
Firstly, this paper attempts to sort out the development history of economic growth theory, to explore the core concerns of various major economic growth theories, their economic significance and their shortcomings or limitations, to criticize the traditional economic growth theory, and to point out the possible direction of economic growth theory after human factors participate in the economic and financial system. Then, starting from the concept and development of virtual economy, this paper reviews the basic connotation and development status of virtual economy, and analyzes the complexity of economic growth under the background of economic virtualization in combination with my own understanding; for this reason, the author introduces the concept of expectation, and tries to explain the economic growth in a human-oriented way, from the connotation of expectation to cognitive development. In the last part of this paper, I propose a model of expectation-based virtual wealth, investment and endogenous growth, and give an empirical test. From the practical point of view, this paper puts forward reasonable policy suggestions for the further development of China's market economy.
Under the background of economic virtualization, the operation of the economy has become more complex, and the virtual economy is a "double-edged sword": a good operation can mobilize savings for the real economy, provide financing support, disperse operational risks, reduce transaction costs, reveal and transmit the information of the real economy, improve the efficiency of the operation of the real economy, and promote the optimization of resources efficiency. To improve the efficiency of the real economy, we can stimulate the consumption and investment demand through the wealth effect and stimulate the growth of the real economy. However, the development of the virtual economy will also have a negative impact on the real economy to a certain extent, such as reducing the capital into the real economy, reducing the efficiency of the use of financial resources, the emergence of economic bubbles, and increasing the real economy. Therefore, it is of great significance to the development of the whole national economy to establish and maintain a confidence-oriented macro-policy system based on the study of human behavioral factors and to control the virtual economy from the root to the beneficial side. Definite driving role.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：F224;F061.2
本文编号：2198243
[Abstract]:The reason for economic growth, the internal mechanism and the way to achieve it, has always been the core issue in economic theory research. This issue is so fascinating that it has won numerous economists to bend over.
Since Adam Smith published the Wealth of Nations, after Harold-Thomas, Solo, Ricardo and Malthus, Carlo and other people, the theory of economic growth is vast, but because of the corresponding stage of economic development at that time, in a fairly long period of time, economists generally concerned about economic growth is the real economy, and almost all concentrated. However, the historical reality of contemporary economic growth is far from the past: with the rapid growth of the economy, bonds, stocks, etc. The number and structure of the virtual capital are constantly expanding. Especially in the 1970s, the number of the virtual capital has accelerated. The economic virtualization has become an important feature of economic development.
This prompts us to ask such a question: what is the main driving force of economic growth in the context of economic virtualization, and whether the economic growth theory derived from the dominant real economy is still suitable? If not, how to build a new economic growth model? The theme of this paper is economic virtualization. The author hopes to construct a new economic growth model under the background of economic virtualization by studying the causes and mechanisms of economic growth under the background of economic virtualization, and put forward policy recommendations for economic development under the background of building a harmonious society.
Firstly, this paper attempts to sort out the development history of economic growth theory, to explore the core concerns of various major economic growth theories, their economic significance and their shortcomings or limitations, to criticize the traditional economic growth theory, and to point out the possible direction of economic growth theory after human factors participate in the economic and financial system. Then, starting from the concept and development of virtual economy, this paper reviews the basic connotation and development status of virtual economy, and analyzes the complexity of economic growth under the background of economic virtualization in combination with my own understanding; for this reason, the author introduces the concept of expectation, and tries to explain the economic growth in a human-oriented way, from the connotation of expectation to cognitive development. In the last part of this paper, I propose a model of expectation-based virtual wealth, investment and endogenous growth, and give an empirical test. From the practical point of view, this paper puts forward reasonable policy suggestions for the further development of China's market economy.
Under the background of economic virtualization, the operation of the economy has become more complex, and the virtual economy is a "double-edged sword": a good operation can mobilize savings for the real economy, provide financing support, disperse operational risks, reduce transaction costs, reveal and transmit the information of the real economy, improve the efficiency of the operation of the real economy, and promote the optimization of resources efficiency. To improve the efficiency of the real economy, we can stimulate the consumption and investment demand through the wealth effect and stimulate the growth of the real economy. However, the development of the virtual economy will also have a negative impact on the real economy to a certain extent, such as reducing the capital into the real economy, reducing the efficiency of the use of financial resources, the emergence of economic bubbles, and increasing the real economy. Therefore, it is of great significance to the development of the whole national economy to establish and maintain a confidence-oriented macro-policy system based on the study of human behavioral factors and to control the virtual economy from the root to the beneficial side. Definite driving role.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：F224;F061.2
【引证文献】
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1 张国庆;后工业经济与经济虚拟化研究[D];南开大学;2010年
2 张云华;汇率变动、宏观调控与经济增长[D];上海社会科学院;2013年
3 胡晓;美国经济失衡及对世界经济的影响研究[D];南开大学;2012年
4 许平祥;美国经济的“二元化”研究[D];南开大学;2012年
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2 王静;安徽省旅游经济增长因素的实证研究[D];安徽大学;2014年
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