广西碳生产率与影响因素关系的VAR实证研究

发布时间：2018-10-21 19:20

【摘要】：气候变暖使得碳排放空间变成稀缺的生产要素。提高碳生产率是应对气候变化的重要策略,也是发展绿色经济的题中之义。文章选取广西1978年-2013年的数据,运用加权最小二乘法与向量自回归法,建立广西碳生产率及其影响因素间关系的实证模型,进一步运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解探索各因素的响应程度和影响系数的大小。研究表明,广西碳生产率对经济增长、产业结构、能源价格的冲击响应灵敏,对人均收入水平的响应程度一般;影响因素在长期内和短期内对碳生产率的响应系数存在差异。提出广西应通过化解过剩产能推动产业转型升级,构建科学产业结构;调整当前能源消费结构,积极开发利用新型清洁能源;提高居民消费购买力,引导建立科学合理的消费结构等方式提高碳生产率。
[Abstract]:Climate warming has made carbon-emitting space a scarce factor of production. Increasing carbon productivity is an important strategy to deal with climate change, and is also a key to the development of a green economy. Based on the data from 1978 to 2013 in Guangxi, the paper uses weighted least square method and vector autoregressive method to establish an empirical model of the relationship between carbon productivity and its influencing factors in Guangxi. The impulse response function and variance decomposition are used to explore the response degree and influence coefficient of each factor. The results show that the response of carbon productivity to economic growth, industrial structure and energy price is sensitive, and to the level of per capita income is general, and the response coefficient of influencing factors to carbon productivity is different in the long term and in the short term. It is suggested that Guangxi should promote industrial transformation and upgrading by eliminating excess production capacity, construct a scientific industrial structure, adjust the current energy consumption structure, actively develop and utilize new clean energy sources, and increase the purchasing power of residents' consumption. To guide the establishment of a scientific and reasonable consumption structure and other ways to improve carbon productivity.
【作者单位】：广西师范大学;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目《桂滇黔地区碳排放实证研究——现状评价与对策》(12YJA630101)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：X196;F127;F224

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