不同碳政策对分布式鲁棒报童模型影响的研究

发布时间：2018-11-14 14:35

【摘要】：如今,排放温室气体造成的大气污染已受到高度重视.相关政府与组织通过颁布碳限额,碳交易政策和碳税政策等相关策略用来控制碳排放量.碳交易政策指权威组织(一般是政府相关机构)给企业设定一定时间的碳排放总量,如果企业该时间内的碳排放总量超过此上限,则企业可去碳交易市场购买超出上限部分的碳排放权.否则,企业可以出售剩余部分的碳排放权.碳限额政策指企业一定时间的总碳排放不能超过机构限制的上限.碳税政策指对于企业生产项目中产生的碳排放,国家则征收相应的税收.本文将碳政策引入传统报童模型,考虑市场需求仅均值和方差已知的情况下,不同碳政策对于分布式鲁棒报童模型的影响.分别构建碳限额政策,碳交易政策和碳税政策三种碳政策下的分布式报童模型,通过最大化最糟糕情况下的期望利润来制定最优订货量.通过求解这三个模型,我们推导出最优订货量的封闭形式解,并将三种政策进行比较,结果表明碳交易政策可产生更高的利润和更低的碳排放,是最佳策略.最后带有所有参数鲁棒敏感性分析的数值案例也证明了此发展模型的有效性,并给出了一些管理启示.本文内容如下:第一章,介绍本文的研究背景,碳政策下的报童问题的研究现状,分布式鲁棒报童问题的研究现状和本文主要的成果.第二章,详细描述本文所研究的问题,介绍符号和基本假设,分别构建三种不同碳政策下的分布式鲁棒报童问题的数学模型,求解每个模型的封闭形式的最优解,并进行相关分析.第三章,对三种不同政策下的理论结果进行比较,利用数值案例来说明发展的模型并分析结果,得出一些管理启示.第四章,总结文章主要结论和未来展望.
[Abstract]:Today, greenhouse gas emissions caused by atmospheric pollution has been highly valued. Governments and organizations control carbon emissions by issuing carbon caps, carbon trading policies, and carbon tax policies. Carbon trading policy means that authoritative organizations (usually government agencies) set the total amount of carbon emissions for a certain period of time, and if the total amount of carbon emissions exceeds this limit within that period of time, Then the enterprise can go to the carbon trading market to buy carbon emissions rights beyond the upper limit. Otherwise, companies can sell the rest of their carbon emissions rights. A carbon cap policy means that a firm's total carbon emissions should not exceed the institutional limit for a certain period of time. Carbon tax policy refers to the carbon emissions generated by enterprises' production projects, which are taxed by the state. In this paper, the carbon policy is introduced into the traditional newsboy model, and the influence of different carbon policies on the distributed robust newsboy model is considered when the market demand is only known with the mean and variance. The distributed newsboy models under carbon policy, carbon trading policy and carbon tax policy are constructed, and the optimal order volume is determined by maximizing the expected profit in the worst case. By solving these three models, we derive the closed form solution of the optimal order quantity, and compare the three policies. The results show that the carbon trading policy can produce higher profit and lower carbon emission, which is the best strategy. Finally, a numerical example with robust sensitivity analysis of all parameters is given to illustrate the validity of the developed model, and some management implications are given. The main contents of this paper are as follows: in Chapter 1, the background of this paper, the current situation of the research on the problem of newsboy under carbon policy, the research status of distributed robust newsboy and the main achievements of this paper are introduced. In the second chapter, the problems studied in this paper are described in detail, the symbols and basic assumptions are introduced, the mathematical models of distributed robust newsboy problem under three different carbon policies are constructed, and the optimal solutions of closed form of each model are solved. And carry on the correlation analysis. In the third chapter, the theoretical results of three different policies are compared, and a numerical example is used to illustrate the development model and analyze the results, and some management revelations are obtained. The fourth chapter summarizes the main conclusions and future prospects of the article.
【学位授予单位】：曲阜师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X196;F274

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