技术科学发展与产业结构变迁的相关性研究

发布时间：2018-12-16 02:20

【摘要】：当代社会的剧烈变革很大程度上可以归因于科学技术的进步。技术科学作为基础科学与工程技术之间相对独立的学科层次，是科学转化为现实生产力的桥梁，是联系基础研究和应用开发的纽带，是当代工程技术教育的主要学科基础。本文作为刘启华教授主持的国家社会科学基金项目“技术科学的范畴界定、历史分期与发展模式研究”的子课题，采用比较研究、历史考察、统计计量、科学抽象等方法，对技术科学发展与产业结构变迁之间的相关性进行了研究，努力揭示二者之间的内在因果联系。这对预测科技和产业的未来发展趋势，制定和调整科技发展战略、产业发展战略以及改革高等工程教育都有着重要的意义。首先，本文把课题组通过研究获得的技术科学总体发展的时间序列特征曲线，和梅兹的经济长波曲线进行比较，发现二者存在周期一致、峰值嵌套的现象，初步从现象上判定了技术科学与产业结构的相关性。其次，按照学科的产生年代，根据梅兹经济长波曲线确定的五个时间段，，将统计范围内的技术科学学科分成五组，即每个时段一组：再依据学科的应用定向，对每个经济长波时段内产生的技术科学学科进行产业归类；将上述学科分类的结果与历次长波期间的主导产业群进行比较；对比较所得的数据进行统计分析后，发现技术科学新学科与所处长波时段的主导产业群之间存在极大的相关性，进一步从统计上验证了二者之间的相关性。再次，通过科学、技术、产业互动发展的详细历史考察和综合分析，寻找各个长波时段内技术科学学科产生的产业背景，从本质上说明二者相关性的客观依据。最后获得这样的结论：近代产业革命以来以主导产业群更替为特征的各个历史时期的产业结构变迁和对应历史时期内技术科学的发展有着直接的因果联系。在上述研究工作的基础上，本文还对20世纪末到21世纪中叶技术科学发展和产业结构演进的趋势做了粗略的展望。
[Abstract]:The drastic changes in contemporary society can be attributed largely to the progress of science and technology. As a relatively independent discipline level between basic science and engineering technology, technological science is the bridge between science and practical productivity, the link between basic research and application development, and the main subject foundation of contemporary engineering technology education. As a sub-topic of the National Social Science Foundation project "the definition of the category of technical science, the study of historical staging and development model", which is sponsored by Professor Liu Qihua, this paper adopts the methods of comparative study, historical investigation, statistical metrology, scientific abstraction, etc. This paper studies the correlation between the development of technology science and the change of industrial structure, and tries to reveal the internal causal relationship between them. It is of great significance to predict the future development trend of science and technology and industry, to formulate and adjust the development strategy of science and technology, to develop industry strategy and to reform higher engineering education. First of all, this paper compares the time series characteristic curve of the overall development of technology science obtained by the research group with the economic long wave curve of Mez, and finds that the two have the same period and peak value nesting phenomenon. The correlation between technological science and industrial structure is preliminarily determined from the phenomenon. Secondly, according to the generation time of the subject, according to the five time periods determined by the Mez economic long wave curve, the technical science subject in the statistical scope is divided into five groups, that is, one group in each time period: then according to the application direction of the subject, Industrial classification of the technology and science disciplines produced during each economic long wave period; The results of the classification of the above disciplines are compared with the leading industrial clusters during the previous long wave periods; After the statistical analysis of the data obtained from the comparison, it is found that there is a great correlation between the new subject of technology science and the leading industrial group in the long wave period, which further verifies the correlation between them statistically. Thirdly, through the detailed historical investigation and comprehensive analysis of the interactive development of science, technology and industry, we find out the industrial background of the subject of technology science in each long wave period, and explain the objective basis of the correlation between the two in essence. Finally, the conclusion is drawn that the changes of industrial structure in each historical period characterized by the turnover of leading industrial clusters since the modern industrial revolution have a direct causal relationship with the development of technological science in the corresponding historical period. On the basis of the above research work, this paper also makes a rough prospect on the trend of technological science development and industrial structure evolution from the end of the 20th century to the middle of the 21st century.
【学位授予单位】：南京工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2004
【分类号】：F062.4

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