贸易结构的动态演进及其对经济增长的贡献研究
发布时间：2018-12-18 18:12
【摘要】： 在信息化时代,交易技术快速发展、交易成本极大降低,基于分工深化结果的国际贸易成为一国经济发展的重要源泉,一国在既定资源的条件下应该选择合适的贸易结构来实现经济的最优增长路径。参与国际贸易的各个国家,由于生产要素密集程度、技术发展水平、市场组织和经济发展规模等的差异性,在国际贸易中会形成自己的绝对优势、比较优势、竞争优势以及随市场容量扩大所带来的规模经济优势,各国应该利用自己的优势参与国际贸易。经济发展会推动技术不断革新、生产规模不断扩大、市场组织不断优化和要素相对密集度的动态变化,因此,一国的绝对优势、比较优势和竞争优势是动态演进的,贸易结构的动态演进是经济发展和竞争的必然结果。 本文在第2章中从贸易品显示技术附加值的角度建立了贸易结构的分析方法:首先依据贸易品事后的统计数据计算贸易品的显示技术附加值的观测值,其次根据贸易品显示技术附加值的样本观测值计算贸易品显示技术附加值真值的最优估值,最后应用贸易品显示技术附加值的最优估值建立贸易结构的分析指标。在第3章中从超边际分析和边际分析的角度对贸易结构的动态演进提供了理论基础、构建了贸易结构动态演进的基础模型、分析了贸易结构动态演进的路径和特点,贸易结构动态演进路径和特点取决于专业化经济和交易效率系数的大小。在第4章中从理论上分析了贸易结构对经济增长贡献的因素和路径,并在贸易结构分解的基础上,建立了贸易结构对经济增长贡献的实证模型。 最后实证分析了中国外贸结构的基本特点、动态演进路径和对经济增长的贡献,其基本结论是:中国出口产品贸易结构从低技术附加值向高技术附加值动态演进,进口产品结构从高技术附加值向低技术附加值动态演进,但中国出口产品的贸易结构系数位于中等水平,并形成了低技术附加值和高技术附加值并存的二元贸易结构;在贸易结构对经济增长的贡献中,出口和进口对中国经济增长都有很大的贡献,中国出口产品对经济增长的贡献主要是低附加值和中偏低技术附加值的出口产品,而在进口产品对经济增长的贡献中高技术附加值产品比低技术附加值产品对中国经济增长的贡献较大。
[Abstract]:In the information age, with the rapid development of trade technology and the great reduction of transaction cost, international trade based on the deepening of division of labor has become an important source of a country's economic development. A country should choose the appropriate trade structure to realize the optimal economic growth path under the condition of given resources. The countries participating in international trade, due to the differences in the intensity of production factors, the level of technological development, the scale of market organization and economic development, will form their own absolute advantages and comparative advantages in international trade. Competitive advantage and scale economy advantage brought by the expansion of market capacity, countries should take advantage of their advantages to participate in international trade. Economic development will promote technological innovation, continuous expansion of production scale, continuous optimization of market organization and dynamic changes in relative concentration of elements. Therefore, a country's absolute, comparative and competitive advantages are evolving dynamically. The dynamic evolution of trade structure is the inevitable result of economic development and competition. In chapter 2, we establish the analytical method of trade structure from the point of view of technical added value of trade goods. Firstly, we calculate the observation value of display technology value added of trade goods according to the statistical data of trade goods afterwards. Secondly, the best valuation of the true value of the technical value added is calculated according to the sample observation value of the technical added value of the trade goods display. Finally, the analysis index of the trade structure is established by using the optimal valuation value of the technical value added of the trade goods display. Chapter 3 provides the theoretical basis for the dynamic evolution of trade structure from the perspective of hypermarginal analysis and marginal analysis, constructs the basic model of the dynamic evolution of trade structure, and analyzes the path and characteristics of the dynamic evolution of trade structure. The dynamic evolution of trade structure depends on the specialization economy and the coefficient of transaction efficiency. In chapter 4, the factors and paths of trade structure's contribution to economic growth are analyzed theoretically, and the empirical model of trade structure's contribution to economic growth is established on the basis of trade structure decomposition. Finally, the paper empirically analyzes the basic characteristics of China's foreign trade structure, its dynamic evolution path and its contribution to economic growth. Its basic conclusion is that the trade structure of China's export products evolves from low technology added value to high technology added value. The structure of import products evolves from high technology added value to low technology added value, but the trade structure coefficient of China's export products is at the middle level, which forms a dual trade structure with low technology added value and high technology added value. In the contribution of trade structure to economic growth, both exports and imports have made great contributions to China's economic growth. The contribution of China's export products to economic growth is mainly those with low added value and medium and low technological added value. In the contribution of imported products to economic growth, high-tech value-added products contribute more to China's economic growth than low-technology value-added products.
【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2009
【分类号】：F224;F746;F061.2
本文编号：2386280
[Abstract]:In the information age, with the rapid development of trade technology and the great reduction of transaction cost, international trade based on the deepening of division of labor has become an important source of a country's economic development. A country should choose the appropriate trade structure to realize the optimal economic growth path under the condition of given resources. The countries participating in international trade, due to the differences in the intensity of production factors, the level of technological development, the scale of market organization and economic development, will form their own absolute advantages and comparative advantages in international trade. Competitive advantage and scale economy advantage brought by the expansion of market capacity, countries should take advantage of their advantages to participate in international trade. Economic development will promote technological innovation, continuous expansion of production scale, continuous optimization of market organization and dynamic changes in relative concentration of elements. Therefore, a country's absolute, comparative and competitive advantages are evolving dynamically. The dynamic evolution of trade structure is the inevitable result of economic development and competition. In chapter 2, we establish the analytical method of trade structure from the point of view of technical added value of trade goods. Firstly, we calculate the observation value of display technology value added of trade goods according to the statistical data of trade goods afterwards. Secondly, the best valuation of the true value of the technical value added is calculated according to the sample observation value of the technical added value of the trade goods display. Finally, the analysis index of the trade structure is established by using the optimal valuation value of the technical value added of the trade goods display. Chapter 3 provides the theoretical basis for the dynamic evolution of trade structure from the perspective of hypermarginal analysis and marginal analysis, constructs the basic model of the dynamic evolution of trade structure, and analyzes the path and characteristics of the dynamic evolution of trade structure. The dynamic evolution of trade structure depends on the specialization economy and the coefficient of transaction efficiency. In chapter 4, the factors and paths of trade structure's contribution to economic growth are analyzed theoretically, and the empirical model of trade structure's contribution to economic growth is established on the basis of trade structure decomposition. Finally, the paper empirically analyzes the basic characteristics of China's foreign trade structure, its dynamic evolution path and its contribution to economic growth. Its basic conclusion is that the trade structure of China's export products evolves from low technology added value to high technology added value. The structure of import products evolves from high technology added value to low technology added value, but the trade structure coefficient of China's export products is at the middle level, which forms a dual trade structure with low technology added value and high technology added value. In the contribution of trade structure to economic growth, both exports and imports have made great contributions to China's economic growth. The contribution of China's export products to economic growth is mainly those with low added value and medium and low technological added value. In the contribution of imported products to economic growth, high-tech value-added products contribute more to China's economic growth than low-technology value-added products.
【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2009
【分类号】：F224;F746;F061.2
【引证文献】
相关博士学位论文 前1条
1 陈丽静;知识产权保护、技术创新与贸易结构优化[D];浙江大学;2012年
相关硕士学位论文 前6条
1 何莎;安徽省对外贸易结构与产业结构关系研究[D];安徽工业大学;2011年
2 刘静;基于产业组织视角的我国贸易结构优化研究[D];沈阳理工大学;2011年
3 李倩;安徽高新技术产品出口贸易的研究[D];安徽大学;2012年
4 周月莹;基于要素依赖的外贸结构升级研究[D];长春工业大学;2012年
5 马林;山东省外贸商品结构与产业结构关系的实证研究[D];山东财经大学;2013年
6 魏俊;我国对外贸易结构和产业结构的关系研究[D];广东商学院;2013年
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