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洪水风险分析理论与方法研究

发布时间:2018-12-23 21:19
【摘要】: 我国是世界洪水灾害最为严重的国家之一,防洪减灾一直是国家的基本战略。如何在洪水风险中谋求生存和发展是风险管理中长期存在的问题,随着经济社会的进步,这一问题将越来越突出。了解洪水风险的基本特性,研究分析其内在规律,,将大大提高防洪减灾的成效,最终实现人与洪水和谐共处的战略目标。 本文首先论述了我国防洪减灾的基本形势、洪水灾害的基本特点、江河防洪标准及其评价。其次分析了洪水风险的基本属性、分类以及洪水风险分析的基本内涵和方法。然后提出洪水风险图制作的方法和步骤。在理论分析的基础上,结合岷江成都平原洪水风险分析的具体研究项目,运用水灾频率分析方法进行了洪水风险区划的研究。最后对洪水风险管理的本质进行了论述,进而提出我国防洪减灾的战略思想。
[Abstract]:China is one of the most serious flood disaster countries in the world, flood control and disaster reduction has been the basic strategy of the country. How to survive and develop in flood risk is a long-term problem in risk management. With the progress of economy and society, this problem will become more and more prominent. Understanding the basic characteristics of flood risk and studying and analyzing its inherent law will greatly improve the effectiveness of flood control and disaster reduction and finally realize the strategic goal of harmonious coexistence between people and floods. This paper first discusses the basic situation of flood control and disaster reduction in China, the basic characteristics of flood disaster, the flood control standards of rivers and their evaluation. Secondly, the basic attributes and classification of flood risk and the basic connotation and method of flood risk analysis are analyzed. Then, the methods and steps of flood risk map making are put forward. Based on the theoretical analysis, the flood risk zoning in Chengdu Plain of Minjiang River is studied by using the flood frequency analysis method. Finally, the essence of flood risk management is discussed, and the strategic thought of flood control and disaster reduction in China is put forward.
【学位授予单位】:河海大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2003
【分类号】:F069.9

【引证文献】

相关博士学位论文 前1条

1 王宏伟;跨河道桥工程防洪风险管理体系研究[D];天津大学;2006年

相关硕士学位论文 前2条

1 任清泉;上海市水文气象灾害风险特征分析及管理范式研究[D];上海师范大学;2007年

2 谢圣;小流域山洪风险图及风险管理研究[D];浙江大学;2007年



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