中国出口贸易隐含碳排放增长及其驱动因素研究

发布时间：2019-04-26 05:34

【摘要】：文章基于可比价投入产出表,利用结构分解分析法研究了中国出口贸易隐含碳排放增长及其驱动因素。中国出口贸易隐含碳排放数量巨大,在中国碳排放总额中占比很高,且在行业分布和国别流向方面表现出较高的集中度;出口总量增长是导致中国出口贸易隐含碳排放增长的主要因素,而直接排放系数降低和中间生产技术进步对碳排放增长起到了一定的抑制作用,但出口结构改善对抑制碳排放增加的作用非常有限,在某些年份和个别出口贸易伙伴中,由于结构恶化反而导致碳排放增加。因此,我国在采取措施降低出口碳排放强度的同时,亟需进一步加大出口商品升级换代的力度。
[Abstract]:Based on the comparable price input-output table, this paper studies the implied carbon emission growth and its driving factors in China's export trade by means of structural decomposition analysis. The quantity of implied carbon emissions in China's export trade is huge, which accounts for a high proportion of China's total carbon emissions, and shows a high concentration in the distribution of industries and the flow of countries; The growth of total export volume is the main factor leading to the growth of implied carbon emissions in China's export trade, while the reduction of direct emission coefficient and the progress of intermediate production technology play a certain role in restraining the growth of carbon emissions. However, the effect of improved export structure on carbon emissions increase is very limited, and in some years and among individual export trading partners, carbon emissions have increased as a result of structural deterioration. Therefore, China takes measures to reduce the intensity of export carbon emissions, at the same time, it is urgent to further increase the upgrading of export commodities.
【作者单位】：南京财经大学国际经贸学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“低碳经济下提升我国制造业贸易竞争力研究”(批准号11CJY045);国家社会科学基金“低碳经济与我国参与国际分工战略的调整研究”(批准号10BJL033)的研究成果
【分类号】：F752.62;X196

【参考文献】