基于动态资金投入的河北省农业综合开发项目绩效分析

发布时间：2018-01-02 13:39

本文关键词：基于动态资金投入的河北省农业综合开发项目绩效分析　出处：《河北农业大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：农业综合开发是我国上世纪80年代政府实施的一项以提高农业综合生产能力,带动农民增产增收为主要目标的重要措施,20多年来,农业综合开发项目已经遍布全国各地,随着财政资金投入的不断增多,其对现代农业发展的示范效应也日益凸显。河北省农业综合开发项目最早实施于1988年,随着各级财政资金投入的不断加大,政府和社会对该类项目的绩效越来越重视,多年的投入是否实现了预期的目标?产生的绩效如何?目前尚未有明确的回答。本文旨在通过对河北省20多年来农业综合开发项目资金投入的系统梳理,分析农业综合开发项目产生的绩效,为全面了解农业综合开发项目、提高农业综合开发项目绩效提供决策支持。本文以舒尔茨的农业与经济增长理论、柯布-道格拉斯理论及投入产出理论为基础,以河北省25年的数据为依据,运用SPSS21.0软件和E-views8.0软件并结合数理模型的研究方法,从动态资金投入的角度对河北省农业综合开发项目绩效展开了实证分析。本文的核心共三部分:首先对河北省自1988年实施农业综合开发项目以来动态资金投入的现状进行了分析,主要从资金投入现状、资金来源及情况、产业化经营项目和土地治理项目四个方面对动态资金投入的现状进行剖析。其次利用河北省25年的数据,以计量经济学为手段从农业综合开发项目财政资金对社会资金的带动效应、对农民增收及农民总产值的影响三个角度展开实证分析,得出如下结论:一是农业综合开发项目财政资金带动效应不明显;二是农业综合开发项目财政资金对增加河北省农业总产值以及促进农民增收方面有着明显的促进作用。最后在分析的基础上,给出了提高农业综合开发项目绩效的建议,主要包括调整财政支农结构,加大农业综合开发项目投入;探索建立农业综合开发项目投入稳定增长机制;发挥区域优势特色产业;加大对农业综合开发的宣传力度。本文的创新之处在于:基于河北省25年来动态的资金投入,从农业综合开发项目财政资金对社会资金的带动效应、对农民人均纯收入以及农业总产值的影响三个角度比较全面的分析了河北省农业综合开发项目绩效。通过本文对河北省农业综合开发项目绩效的分析,为河北省农业综合开发办公室和财政部等相关政府部门全面了解农业综合开发项目财政资金的带动效应、对农民人均纯收入以及农业总产值的影响提供参考,为提高农业综合开发项目绩效提供决策依据。
[Abstract]:The agricultural comprehensive development is the last century, in 80s the government implementation in order to improve the comprehensive agricultural production capacity, to increase the income of farmers as the main goal of the important measures, more than 20 years, the agricultural comprehensive development project has been all over the country, with financial investment increasing, the demonstration effect on the development of modern agriculture is increasingly prominent. Hebei Province Agricultural Comprehensive Development Project for the first implementation in 1988, with all levels of financial investment continues to increase, the government and society pay more attention to the project's performance and, for many years whether the investment is expected? How to generate performance? There is not yet a clear answer. This paper aims to systematically the agricultural comprehensive development project investment of more than 20 years of Hebei Province, the agricultural comprehensive development project of the performance, to fully understand the comprehensive agricultural development projects. Comprehensive development of high agricultural project performance to provide decision support. This paper is based on Schultz's theory of agricultural and economic growth, the Cobb Douglas theory and input-output theory, taking Hebei province in 25 years on the basis of the data, using SPSS21.0 software and E-views8.0 software and research methods combined with the mathematical model, an empirical Analysis on performance of agricultural comprehensive the development project of Hebei province from the dynamic investment perspective. The core of this paper consists of three parts: the first in Hebei province since 1988 to implement the comprehensive agricultural development project to analyze the dynamic capital investment situation, mainly from the capital investment situation, and sources of funds, analyzes present situation of the dynamic investment four aspects of industrialization project management project and land utilization in Hebei province. Then 25 years of data in Econometrics means from the agricultural comprehensive development project of financial funds Driving effect of social capital, empirical analysis launched three aspects of influence on the total output value of farmers and farmers, draws the following conclusion: one is the financial capital of comprehensive agricultural development projects driving effect is not obvious; the two is the financial capital of comprehensive agricultural development projects have obvious effect on promoting the increase of the total output value of agriculture in Hebei province and promote the increase of farmers' income. Finally, on the basis of the analysis, is given to improve the comprehensive agricultural development project performance, including the adjustment of the agriculture structure, increase investment in agricultural comprehensive development project; explore the establishment of comprehensive agricultural development project investment stable growth mechanism; regional advantages of special industries; to increase the comprehensive agricultural development in the propaganda. The innovation lies in: Hebei Province dynamic 25 years funding based on financial resources from the comprehensive agricultural development projects of social capital drive Effect on the three angles of the per capita net income of farmers as well as the influence of the total output value of agriculture more comprehensive analysis of the agricultural comprehensive development project in Hebei province. Through the analysis of the performance of agricultural comprehensive development project in Hebei province for the performance of the driving effect of Hebei province agriculture comprehensive development office and the Ministry of Finance and other relevant government departments to fully understand the comprehensive agricultural financial funds the development of the project, to provide reference for the per capita net income of farmers and the total agricultural output value, to provide decision-making basis for improving the agricultural comprehensive development project performance.

【学位授予单位】：河北农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.4

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