云南省农民工市民化的合理推进速度及成本研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 21:10

本文关键词：云南省农民工市民化的合理推进速度及成本研究　出处：《云南财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文系统地研究了云南省农民工市民化的合理推进速度和成本问题。本文首先从现阶段农民工群体的现状和市民化意愿的调研着手,从总体上把握了云南省农民工市民化的总体态势。进而采用可计算的一般均衡模型,对农民工市民化的不同推进速度下的经济效应进行了预测。考虑到农民工市民化存在巨大的成本这一问题可能会在市民化政策推进初期成为政策推进的阻碍,本文采用分类汇总的方法粗略测算了云南省推进农民工市民化政策的各类成本,并与模型所预测的市民化政策推进之后政府、企业和居民收入进行对比,从而对现阶段推进农民工市民化的可行性进行分析。本文根据以上研究得到四点结论:第一,以每年占农民工总量20%的比例推进市民化(即每年实现市民化的农民工人数约为130万)的政策效果相对优于10%和30%(即每年实现市民化的农民工人数分别约为65万和195万),并且,在约5年的市民化政策推进期结束之后,成功转化为城镇居民的这部分农民工群体将由于工资歧视消除和边际消费倾向提高等因素,释放出巨大的内需潜力。第二,在以每年占农民工总量20%的比例推进市民化(即每年实现市民化的农民工人数约为130万)的情形下,农民工个人成本占其收入的比重高于70%,而政府和企业所分摊的成本占收入的比重微乎其微(接近于0)。第三,推进农民工市民化的关键在于解决农民工个人市民化成本过高的问题,政策实施可以考虑由地方政府主导,通过相关制度完善缓解过高的农民工个人的市民化成本;第四,基于成本测算中住房成本和基本养老保险成本过高的情况,政府一方面要尽快为农民工提供住房保障和基本养老保险,减轻农民工定居城市的负担,另一方面要加快改革僵化的土地流转制度,拓宽农民工的收入渠道,为农民工提供市民化的资金支持。
[Abstract]:This paper systematically studies the reasonable speed and cost of the urbanization of migrant workers in Yunnan Province. From the overall grasp of the general situation of the urbanization of migrant workers in Yunnan Province, and then adopt a computable general equilibrium model. This paper predicts the economic effects of the urbanization of migrant workers at different speed. Considering the huge cost of the urbanization of migrant workers, it may become a hindrance to the policy advancement in the early stage of the promotion of the policy. This paper uses the method of classification and summary to roughly calculate the various costs of promoting the urbanization policy of migrant workers in Yunnan Province, and compares with the government, enterprises and residents' income after the promotion of the municipal policies predicted by the model. In order to promote the feasibility of migrant workers citizenship at this stage of the analysis. According to the above research this paper draws four conclusions: first. The policy effect of promoting urbanization in the proportion of 20% migrant workers per year (that is, about 1.3 million migrant workers per year) is better than that of 10% and 30 migrant workers. That is to say, the number of migrant workers who realize citizenship is about 650,000 and 1.95 million respectively. In addition, after about 5 years of citizen policy development period, the successful transformation into urban residents of this part of migrant workers will be due to wage discrimination and marginal consumer propensity to improve and other factors. Release the huge potential of domestic demand. Second, in the proportion of 20% migrant workers per year to promote the city (that is, the number of migrant workers to realize the urbanization of about 1.3 million per year). Migrant workers' personal costs account for more than 70 percent of their income, while the share of government and business costs in income is minimal (close to zero. Third.). The key to promote the urbanization of migrant workers lies in solving the problem of high cost of individual citizen of migrant workers. The policy implementation can be considered by the local government. Through the improvement of relevant systems to alleviate the high migrant workers' individual citizen costs; 4th, based on the high cost of housing and basic old-age insurance, the government should provide rural migrant workers with housing security and basic old-age insurance as soon as possible, so as to reduce the burden of migrant workers to settle in cities. On the other hand, it is necessary to speed up the reform of the rigid land transfer system, broaden the income channels of migrant workers, and provide capital support for migrant workers.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D412.6;F323.6

【相似文献】