隐性失业与农村居民家庭消费

发布时间：2018-01-07 08:08

本文关键词：隐性失业与农村居民家庭消费　出处：《世界经济文汇》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：农村地区的隐性失业是我国城镇化尚未完成之前广泛存在的现象,隐性失业是否影响农村居民家庭消费,从而阻碍农村市场在提升内需上的作用?本文使用中国家庭收入调查数据,实证考察隐性失业对农村居民家庭消费的影响。估计结果表明,户主隐性失业对农村居民家庭消费具有显著的负向影响:户主隐性失业使得家庭总消费显著降低3%、非食物消费显著下降8.5%,但对食物消费的影响不显著。进一步,本文发现户主隐性失业对家庭消费的影响是通过降低家庭收入而实现的。不同收入水平下的分析表明,户主隐性失业对低收入家庭非食物消费的负向影响最严重。工具变量估计和稳健性检验仍然支持上述结论。通过继续推进城镇化、不断吸收农村剩余劳动力,不仅有利于消除农村地区普遍存在的隐性失业,而且能够促进内需驱动的经济结构转型。本文从隐性失业的角度,为城镇化与经济结构转型的关系提供了新的经验证据。
[Abstract]:Recessive unemployment in rural areas is a widespread phenomenon before the completion of urbanization in China. Does recessive unemployment affect household consumption of rural residents, thus hindering the role of rural market in promoting domestic demand? Using the data of Chinese household income survey, this paper empirically investigates the influence of hidden unemployment on household consumption of rural residents. The recessive unemployment of the head of household has a significant negative impact on rural household consumption: the implicit unemployment of the head of household makes the total household consumption significantly lower by 3%, and the non-food consumption by 8.5%. However, the impact on food consumption is not significant. Further, this paper finds that the impact of recessive unemployment on household consumption is achieved by reducing household income. The negative impact of recessive unemployment on non-food consumption of low-income households is the most serious. Instrumental variable estimation and robustness test still support the above conclusion. Not only to eliminate the widespread hidden unemployment in rural areas, but also to promote the economic restructuring driven by domestic demand. This paper from the perspective of hidden unemployment. It provides new empirical evidence for the relationship between urbanization and economic structural transformation.
【作者单位】：南京财经大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F323.6;F323.8
【正文快照】： 一、引言在我国的城乡二元结构下,由于农业部门的生产率低于城市部门,农村居民的收入水平低于城市居民。城乡收入差距推动农村居民流向城市从事工业和服务业,以获取相对较高的收入。人口的乡城流动是城市化和经济结构转型的表现形式。随着城市化率的不断提高,农村人口占总人口

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