农业转移人口福利与市民化倾向的理论构建和实证解释

发布时间：2018-01-11 09:21

本文关键词：农业转移人口福利与市民化倾向的理论构建和实证解释　出处：《经济评论》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：农业转移人口市民化进程的内在推动力源于收入和福利要素。本文在城镇化经典理论的基础上,构建符合我国二元经济特征的市民化理论模型,对市民化均衡水平的决定因素进行比较静态分析,并从市民化意愿出发,依据微观调查数据建立有序Probit模型进行实证检验。研究发现,收入和福利水平的改善均可以促进市民化均衡水平的提升,而农村拉力对市民化存在抑制作用。进一步的研究结论表明,农业转移人口在市民化过程中存在明显的"诉求倾向",即子女上学、政治参与以及职业培训状况的改善对市民化意愿的提升效应更为明显。本文认为,以落户为核心的单一户籍制度改革并非推进市民化的关键,只有剥离和户籍绑定的各项福利政策,完善以满足新市民诉求为出发点的居住证制度、缩小福利歧视、渐进分类改善农业转移人口福利,才能真正提升我国市民化的发展水平。
[Abstract]:The internal driving force of the urbanization process of agricultural transfer population is derived from income and welfare factors. Based on the classical theory of urbanization, this paper constructs a theoretical model of urbanization in line with the characteristics of dual economy in China. This paper makes a comparative static analysis on the determinants of the level of the equilibrium of the citizen, and sets up an ordered Probit model based on the microscopic survey data, and makes an empirical test based on the will of the citizen. The improvement of income and welfare level can promote the promotion of the level of urbanization equilibrium, while the rural pull has a restraining effect on the urbanization. Further research results show that. There are obvious "appeal tendencies" in the process of urbanization of the agricultural transfer population, that is, the children attending school, the political participation and the improvement of the vocational training situation have more obvious effect on the promotion of the will of the citizens. The reform of single household registration system with the core of settling down is not the key to promote the city citizenship. Only the welfare policies of stripping and household registration binding can perfect the residence permit system which is based on satisfying the demands of new citizens. Only by reducing welfare discrimination and gradually classifying and improving the welfare of agricultural transfer population can we really improve the level of development of urbanization in our country.
【作者单位】：吉林大学数量经济研究中心;吉林大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“基于生产要素集聚与农民福利动态均衡的新型城镇化发展质量研究”(项目编号:14BJL063) 2016年度教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“新常态下促进经济稳定增长的要素配置与产业升级政策研究”(项目编号:16JJD790015) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“调整型经济增长对我国居民可持续性消费影响的实证研究”(项目编号:13JJD790011) 吉林大学研究生创新基金资助项目“包含金融因素的货币政策规则及其在中国的适用性检验”(项目编号:2016144)的资助
【分类号】：F323.6
【正文快照】： 一、引言和文献述评城镇化的核心是实现“人的城镇化”目标,即推动广大农业转移人口实现由农民向市民身份的转变,共享城市发展带来的物质文明和精神文明。然而,在中国城镇化发展过程中形成了一个无法回避和难以解决的问题,即大量脱离土地进入城市的农业转移人口无法取得城市

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