RCEP对中国农产品贸易的影响研究——从关税削减的角度

发布时间：2018-01-19 18:31

本文关键词： RCEP 农产品贸易影响 GTAP模型　出处：《世界农业》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文利用第九版GTAP数据库构建模拟方案,从关税削减的角度研究区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)建成对中国宏观经济以及各类农产品贸易产生的影响。结果表明,RCEP有助于中国GDP和福利水平的增长、贸易条件的改善,受益程度在RCEP各国中排名居中,且随着关税削减幅度的增加,受益越显著;增加了大多数农产品的进出口规模,其中,中国果蔬产品等具有国际竞争力的农产品贸易创造效应比较明显,出口额显著增加,而植物纤维等不具有国际竞争力的农产品贸易创造效应较弱。此外,研究发现,贸易转移效应并不完全适用于RCEP的多边贸易协定,RCEP使得中国谷物和果蔬产品的进口从其成员转向了非成员。
[Abstract]:This paper uses the 9th version of GTAP database to build a simulation scheme. From the perspective of tariff reduction, this paper studies the impact of the establishment of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) on China's macroeconomic and trade in various agricultural products. RCEP contributes to the growth of China's GDP and welfare level, the improvement of terms of trade, the ranking of the benefit degree among the RCEP countries, and the more significant the benefit is with the increase of tariff reduction. The scale of import and export of most agricultural products has been increased. Among them, the creation effect of international competitive agricultural products such as Chinese fruit and vegetable products has been obvious, and the export volume has increased significantly. In addition, the effect of trade transfer is not fully applicable to RCEP multilateral trade agreements. RCEP has shifted imports of Chinese grain and vegetable products from its members to non-members.
【作者单位】：山东农业大学经济管理学院;
【分类号】：F323.7;F752.6
【正文快照】： 1引言近年来,以多边贸易体制为核心的WTO多哈回合谈判遇到了一些障碍,进展缓慢,世界各国政府纷纷将贸易经济政策的重点转向了发展自由贸易区。区域全面经济伙伴关系(Regional Comprehen-sive Economic Partnership,RCEP)由东盟10国领导人在2011年第21届东盟峰会上提出,并随后

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