粮食价格、农业补贴与主产区农户福利效应

发布时间：2018-01-23 21:55

本文关键词： 粮食价格农业补贴农户福利零售价格生产价格　出处：《宏观经济研究》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在相关理论分析的基础上,本文利用1989—2014年粮食主产区13个省的省际面板数据,综合考察了粮食价格波动及农业补贴对粮食主产区农户福利变化的影响。理论分析结果显示,农业补贴可以通过收入效应和替代效应影响主产区农户福利;粮食零售价格和生产价格是主产区农户福利变化的重要因素。实证结果证明,粮食价格波动引致的主产区农户福利存在明显的省际差异;农业补贴的收入效应、农业生产比以及粮食生产价格和零售价格共同影响着粮食主产区农户的福利:收入效应显著促进了农户福利水平的提高,替代效应没有引致农户福利的相应变化,农业生产比反方向作用于农户福利,粮食零售价格变化影响着农户消费福利反方向变化,粮食生产价格变化影响着农户生产福利同方向变化并在更大程度上引导了总福利变化趋势。研究结论的政策意义:实时动态调整粮食生产结构和区域布局,提升粮食生产的整体收益率;继续加大粮食生产收入性补贴的同时,改革和加强粮食生产性补贴;优化农业生产经营制度环境,保障粮食主产区农户生产福利;建立差异化的农业政策,提升政策支持粮食生产的精准度。
[Abstract]:Based on the relevant theoretical analysis, this paper uses the provincial panel data of 13 provinces in the main grain production areas from 1989 to 2014. The effects of grain price fluctuation and agricultural subsidies on the welfare of farmers in the main grain producing areas are comprehensively investigated. The theoretical analysis shows that agricultural subsidies can affect the welfare of farmers in the main producing areas through income effect and substitution effect. Grain retail price and production price are important factors for the change of farmers' welfare in the main producing areas. The empirical results show that there are obvious inter-provincial differences in the welfare of farmers in the main producing areas caused by the fluctuation of grain prices. The income effects of agricultural subsidies, agricultural production ratio, grain production prices and retail prices affect the welfare of farmers in the main grain producing areas. The income effect significantly promotes the improvement of farmers' welfare level. The substitution effect does not lead to the corresponding changes of farmers' welfare. Agricultural production has a reverse effect on farmers' welfare, and the change of grain retail price affects the reverse direction of farmers' consumption welfare. The change of grain production price affects the change of farmers' production welfare in the same direction and leads the change trend of total welfare to a greater extent. The policy significance of the research conclusion is to adjust the structure of grain production and regional layout dynamically in real time. Increasing the overall yield of grain production; We will continue to increase income subsidies for grain production and at the same time reform and strengthen food production subsidies; To optimize the system environment of agricultural production and management to ensure the production welfare of farmers in the main grain producing areas; Establish differentiated agricultural policies and improve the accuracy of policies to support food production.
【作者单位】：西南大学经济管理学院;重庆大学经济与工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDB169);国家社会科学基金项目(14XJY026) 教育部人文社会科学研究项目(13YJC790104和14YJC790162) 国家自然科学基金项目(71473205)的资助
【分类号】：F323.7;F323.89;F812.8
【正文快照】： —、引言粮食作为农业生产以及人民生活的一种特殊商品,粮食价格波动牵涉众多主体的切身利益,价格太低会导致“谷贱伤农”,价格太高会形成“米贵伤民”。如何在提高农户种粮积极性和稳定粮食零售价格之间寻求平衡,是当前农业供给侧改革政策创新亟需解决的重要问题。那么,粮食

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