农村居民信息消费与居民收入、公共投资的关系研究——基于VAR模型的实证检验

发布时间：2018-01-31 22:52

本文关键词： 农村居民信息消费居民收入公共投资 VAR模型　出处：《消费经济》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文运用VAR模型对我国农村居民信息消费与居民收入、公共投资之间的关系进行了实证检验。结果显示,三者之间存在着较强的相关关系和长期均衡关系。从短期看,信息消费是公共投资的Granger原因,信息消费和公共投资是居民收入的Granger原因,而反向因果关系均不存在;从长期看,公共投资是信息消费与居民收入的Granger原因,信息消费与居民收入之间互为Granger原因。居民收入和公共投资对农村居民信息消费产生持续的正向促进作用,在中短期,公共投资的作用显得相对较小,在长期,公共投资的作用将增大;信息消费和公共投资对农村居民收入具有持续的正向促进作用,在中短期,信息消费和公共投资的促进作用显得相对较小,但在长期,信息消费将成为促进居民收入增加的决定性因素。
[Abstract]:This paper uses VAR model to test the relationship between rural residents' information consumption and residents' income and public investment. In the short run, information consumption is the Granger cause of public investment. Information consumption and public investment are the Granger reasons of residents' income, but the reverse causality does not exist. In the long run, public investment is the Granger cause of information consumption and residents' income. Information consumption and residents' income are mutual Granger reasons. Residents' income and public investment have a continuous positive effect on rural residents' information consumption in the short and medium term. The role of public investment is relatively small, in the long run, the role of public investment will increase; Information consumption and public investment have a continuous positive effect on rural residents' income. In the short and medium term, the promotion effect of information consumption and public investment is relatively small, but in the long run. The information consumption will become the decisive factor which promotes the resident income to increase.
【作者单位】：安徽财经大学;上海财经大学;
【分类号】：F323.8
【正文快照】： 一、引言信息消费是人们为了满足生产或生活的需要,对信息产品和服务进行消费的过程。随着互联网、通讯技术的发展和信息化进程的不断加快,信息在社会、经济生活中的作用不断增大,与物质、能源共同构成了社会经济发展不可或缺的资源。信息消费不但可以提高居民生活质量,促进收

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