我国农业区域发展差异分析及政策选择

发布时间：2018-02-12 13:59

本文关键词： 农业区域发展政策选择聚类分析因子分析判别分析　出处：《经济问题探索》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：对全国农业发展差异进行综合评价并划分区域,可为制定区域农业政策和提高全国农业现代化水平提供帮助。由农业发展阶段和经济增长理论出发,在构建2个一级指标和21个二级指标的农业发展评价指标体系基础上,运用多元统计方法从农业发展阶段和驱动因素分析全国农业发展情况。从农业现代化水平出发,31个省份经过系统聚类划分为4类农业发展阶段,总体全国农业现代化水平不高;从发展驱动因素出发,利用因子分析和判别分析法确定省份农业发展类型,即要素型、技术型、政府-要素型和政府-技术型,其中技术进步已成为推动农业发展的重要驱动力。最后,综合考虑农业发展阶段和驱动因素后产生11种农业发展区域,并结合要素、技术、政府等因素作用对各区域提出农业政策选择建议。
[Abstract]:The comprehensive evaluation of the difference of agricultural development in China and the division of regions can provide help for formulating regional agricultural policies and improving the level of agricultural modernization in the whole country, starting from the stage of agricultural development and the theory of economic growth. On the basis of constructing the agricultural development evaluation index system of 2 primary indexes and 21 secondary indexes, Using the multivariate statistical method to analyze the agricultural development of the whole country from the stage of agricultural development and the driving factors. From the level of agricultural modernization, 31 provinces are divided into four stages of agricultural development by systematic clustering, and the overall level of agricultural modernization in China is not high. Based on the driving factors of development, this paper uses factor analysis and discriminant analysis to determine the types of agricultural development in provinces, that is, factor type, technical type, government-factor type and government-technical type. Among them, technological progress has become an important driving force in promoting agricultural development. Finally, 11 agricultural development regions have emerged after considering the agricultural development stage and the driving factors, and combined with key elements, technology, The government and other factors put forward suggestions for agricultural policy selection in various regions.
【作者单位】：中国农业大学;

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