中国与拉美国家农产品贸易波动成因分析

发布时间：2018-03-23 01:00

本文选题：拉美国家　切入点：农产品贸易　出处：《华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于UN COMTRADE数据库中的农产品贸易数据,利用CMS模型,分析了需求因素、结构因素和竞争因素对1992—2015年中国与拉美国家双向农产品贸易波动的影响。研究发现:中国农产品出口方面,拉美国家进口需求变化是影响中国农产品出口的最主要因素,中国出口竞争力的显著提升,也带动了中国对拉美国家的农产品出口,而出口产品结构不合理则不利于出口增加;拉美国家农产品出口方面,拉美国家农产品出口波动主要取决于中国进口需求变动,近年来,拉美国家农产品整体出口竞争力不足,更多依靠特定农产品的竞争优势带动出口增长,而出口产品结构对出口的影响相对较小,而且多表现为对出口增长的负面作用。
[Abstract]:Based on the trade data of agricultural products in UN COMTRADE database, the demand factors are analyzed by using CMS model. The influence of structural factors and competition factors on the fluctuation of two-way agricultural trade between China and Latin American countries from 1992 to 2015. The study shows that the change of import demand of Latin American countries is the most important factor affecting China's agricultural products export. The remarkable improvement in China's export competitiveness has also led to the export of agricultural products by China to Latin American countries, and the unreasonable structure of export products is not conducive to the increase of exports; in terms of exports of agricultural products from Latin American countries, The fluctuation of agricultural products exports in Latin American countries mainly depends on the changes in China's import demand. In recent years, the overall export competitiveness of agricultural products of Latin American countries is insufficient, and Latin American countries rely more on the competitive advantage of specific agricultural products to drive export growth. The structure of export products has relatively little effect on export, and the negative effect on export growth.
【作者单位】：中国农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家现代农业产业技术体系资助项目(CARS-40-20)
【分类号】：F125;F323.7

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