中国农业转移人口市民化测度研究——基于全国8城市大样本数据的调查分析

发布时间：2018-04-01 10:14

本文选题：农业转移人口　切入点：市民化　出处：《人口与经济》2017年05期

【摘要】：推进农业转移人口市民化是走中国特色新型城镇化道路的首要任务。基于国家卫生和计划生育委员会的大样本调查数据,采用biprobit模型对农业转移人口留城意愿和住房情况的影响因素进行联立分析,并计算不同代际的农业转移人口市民化的可能性及其抑制程度。研究发现:个人因素(稳定的职业、受教育程度、高收入)、社会融合因素(社保、人际关系)、区域因素(跨省流动、流入地)直接影响农业转移人口市民化。经计算,农业转移人口的市民化程度为6.4%,以"80后"最高,"90后"最低;其市民化抑制程度为89.9%,以"90后"最高,"80后"最低。最后提出促进农业转移人口市民化的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Promoting the urbanization of the agricultural transfer population is the first task of taking the new road of urbanization with Chinese characteristics. Based on the large sample survey data of the National Health and Family Planning Commission, Biprobit model is used to analyze the influence factors of the willingness to stay in the city and the housing situation of the agricultural transfer population, and to calculate the possibility and the inhibition degree of the urbanization of the agricultural transfer population of different generations. The study finds that: individual factors (stable occupation, stable occupation), Education level, high income, social integration factors (social security, interpersonal relationship, regional factors (inter-provincial mobility, floating land) directly affect the urbanization of agricultural transfer population. The degree of urbanization of the agricultural transfer population is 6.4, the highest and the lowest among the "post-80s" and "post-90s", and the inhibition degree of the urbanization is 89.9, the highest in the post-1990 and the lowest in the post-80s. Finally, the policy suggestions for promoting the urbanization of the agricultural transfer population are put forward.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学经济与资源管理研究院;
【分类号】：F299.21;F323.6

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