城镇化与收入结构对农村居民消费的影响——基于省级面板数据的分析

发布时间：2018-04-14 08:44

本文选题：城镇化 + 收入结构　；参考：《城市问题》2017年02期

【摘要】：基于2000-2013年的省际面板数据,运用面板平滑转换模型分析了城镇化如何通过改变农村居民的收入结构进而影响其消费行为的路径。结果显示:城镇化对农村消费的影响具有收入结构的平滑转换特征,当工资收入比重超过0.31时,城镇化快速地促进了农村居民消费的增长,而当工资收入比重达到0.37后,消费支出弹性微弱地增长并缓慢爬升到峰值0.65;当经营收入比重下降到0.64时,城镇化对农村居民消费影响的支出弹性出现较快的增长,而当经营收入比重降到0.36后,消费支出弹性缓慢地增长到峰值0.78;农业税的减免和人均财政教育经费支出的增长显著地促进了农村居民消费的增长,而人均财政医疗经费支出的增加对消费增长的影响并不显著。
[Abstract]:Based on the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2013, this paper analyzes how urbanization affects rural residents' consumption behavior by changing the income structure of rural residents by using the panel smooth transformation model.The results show that the influence of urbanization on rural consumption has the characteristics of smooth transformation of income structure. When the proportion of wage income exceeds 0.31, urbanization promotes the growth of rural residents' consumption rapidly, and when the proportion of wage income reaches 0.37, the urbanization of rural residents increases rapidly.When the proportion of operating income drops to 0.64, the expenditure elasticity of the effect of urbanization on consumption of rural residents increases rapidly, but when the proportion of operating income drops to 0.36, the elasticity of consumption increases slightly and slowly to the peak of 0.65; when the proportion of operating income drops to 0.64, the expenditure elasticity of urbanization on rural residents' consumption increases rapidly.The elasticity of consumer expenditure increased slowly to a peak of 0.78, and the reduction of agricultural tax and the increase of per capita expenditure on education significantly promoted the growth of rural residents' consumption.However, the increase of per capita expenditure on health care does not have a significant impact on the growth of consumption.
【作者单位】：惠州学院数学与统计学院;
【基金】：广东省教育厅创新强校项目(9180100022016ZX018)
【分类号】：F323.8

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