土地对第三代农民发展的供养问题研究

发布时间：2018-04-19 22:21

本文选题：第三代农民 + 供养能力　；参考：《石家庄经济学院》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：土地对农民具有养育功能。且土地对不同代际之间的农民养育能力存在差异,体现为从最基本的生产功能到社会保障功能的转变。现阶段土地对新生代农民的养育能力较第一代农民有降低趋势,研究土地对第三代农民的供养问题成为未来农民发展的关键所在。本文在对农民定义的基础上进行代际划分,并以河北省经济发展程度不同的传统农村为样本点进行对比,分析土地对不同代际、不同地区农民的养育能力差异。在研究土地对新生代农民的养育能力中,通过灰色关联模型构建农民家庭人均纯收入与家庭经营收入、工资性收入、转移性和财产性收入关联度指标体系;在研究土地对不同地区农民养育能力差异中,通过聚类分析将河北省各市按照农村经济社会发展水平进行分类,选取经济发展水平不同的廊坊市广阳区西庄子村、邯郸市涉县赤岸村和西宇庄村作为样本点进行土地养育能力对比;最后利用灰色系统预测模型GM(1,1)预测2013~2022年期间第三代农民家庭人均纯收入及来源演变趋势。研究结果表明:2004年后工资性收入与农民家庭人均纯收入关联度最大,说明工资性收入对农民家庭收入的贡献度超过家庭经营收入,即农民收入增长不依赖家庭经营收入,农民家庭对土地的依赖度降低,即土地对农民的直接养育能力降低;土地对经济发展程度不同农村的农民养育能力存在差异;2013~2022年家庭经营收入与工资性收入之间的差距继续增大,农民家庭人均收入非农化现象将进一步加剧,农民家庭对土地的依赖度继续降低,即土地对农民的直接养育能力继续降低。最后,基于当前土地对农民养育能力现状,结合本文的研究结果,提出解决未来农民发展问题的农村土地制度改革与农民增收的建议:稳定农村土地承包经营制度、增加农民的财产性收入、促进土地合理高效流转。
[Abstract]:Land has the function of raising farmers. The difference of farmers' rearing ability between different generations is reflected in the transformation from the most basic production function to the social security function. At the present stage, the cultivation ability of the new generation farmers is lower than that of the first generation farmers, so it is the key to the future development of farmers to study the supply of land to the third generation farmers. Based on the definition of farmers, this paper makes a comparison of the traditional rural areas with different degrees of economic development in Hebei Province, and analyzes the difference of the farmers' rearing ability between different generations and different regions. In the study of the cultivation ability of the new generation of farmers by land, the paper constructs the index system of the correlation degree between the per capita net income of farmers and household management income, wage income, transfer income and property income through grey relational model. In the study of the difference of farmers' rearing ability between different regions, the cities of Hebei Province are classified according to the level of rural economic and social development by cluster analysis, and the village of Xizhuang Village in Guangyang District, Langfang City, which has different level of economic development is selected. Land rearing capacity was compared between Chian Village and Xiyuzhuang Village in Shexian County, Handan City, and the evolution trend of per capita net income and source of the third-generation peasant households during the period from 2013 to 2022 was predicted by using the grey system prediction model GMZ1 / 1. The results show that: after 2004, wage income has the greatest correlation with peasant household per capita net income, which indicates that wage income contributes more to peasant household income than household management income, that is, the increase of peasant income does not depend on household management income. The peasant family's dependence on the land is reduced, that is, the land's direct raising ability to the farmer is reduced; There are differences in the raising ability of farmers in different rural areas with different degrees of land development. The gap between household management income and wage income in 2013-2022 will continue to increase, and the phenomenon of non-agricultural income per capita income of farmers will be further aggravated. The dependence of farmers on land continues to decrease, that is to say, the ability of direct cultivation of land to farmers continues to decrease. Finally, based on the present situation of land to farmers' rearing ability and combining with the research results of this paper, the paper puts forward some suggestions for the reform of rural land system and the increase of farmers' income: to stabilize the rural land contract management system, and to solve the problem of farmers' development in the future. Increase the property income of farmers and promote the rational and efficient circulation of land.
【学位授予单位】：石家庄经济学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.6;F301

【参考文献】