基于ELES模型的苏北农村居民消费结构分析

发布时间：2018-05-11 13:56

本文选题：ELES + 苏北　；参考：《中国农业资源与区划》2017年03期

【摘要】：[目的]基于江苏农村区域经济发展的不平衡。[方法与结果]通过对江苏统计年鉴(2006~2012)农村居民数据处理,首先采用对比分析法,从收入、支出和消费结构3个方面对江苏苏南、苏中、苏北三大区域进行对比,结果显示苏北农村发展相对落后,消费结构有待升级。然后,结合苏北农村居民2008~2012年的经济数据,通过消费支出比率核算,得出食品的支出比率基本呈现逐年递减趋势,文教娱乐、家庭设备支出比例基本呈现逐年递增趋势,表明近年来苏北农村居民消费层次有了很大的提升。最后,采用ELES模型,对苏北农村居民的消费结构特征进行了实证研究。边际消费倾向分析表明,文教娱乐、食品、居住以及交通通讯是苏北农村居民主要消费重点。需求收入弹性分析表明,文教娱乐、家庭设备以及医疗保健为奢侈品,其他为生活必需品。[结论]为促进苏北农村居民消费结构进一步趋于合理,促进苏北经济持续健康发展,从提高农民收入、提升生活品质、加大基础教育投入、改善基础设施并做好农村合作医疗保险等方面给出对策建议。
[Abstract]:[objective] based on the imbalance of rural regional economic development in Jiangsu province. [methods and results] based on the data processing of rural residents in Jiangsu Statistical Yearbook No. 2006 / 2012), the comparative analysis was first used to compare the three regions of southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu from three aspects of income, expenditure and consumption structure. The results show that the rural development of northern Jiangsu is relatively backward, and the consumption structure needs to be upgraded. Then, based on the economic data of rural residents in northern Jiangsu from 2008 to 2012, through the consumption expenditure ratio accounting, it is concluded that the expenditure ratio of food is basically decreasing year by year, the proportion of cultural and educational entertainment and household equipment expenditure is increasing year by year. This indicates that the consumption level of rural residents in northern Jiangsu has been greatly improved in recent years. Finally, using ELES model, the consumption structure characteristics of rural residents in northern Jiangsu Province are studied empirically. The analysis of marginal consumption tendency shows that entertainment, food, housing and communication are the main consumption points of rural residents in northern Jiangsu. Demand income elasticity analysis showed that cultural and educational entertainment, family equipment and health care were luxury goods and other necessities. [conclusion] in order to promote the consumption structure of rural residents in northern Jiangsu to be more reasonable, and to promote the sustained and healthy development of the economy in northern Jiangsu, we should increase the income of farmers, improve the quality of life, and increase the investment in basic education. Improve the infrastructure and do a good job of rural cooperative medical insurance and other aspects of the proposed countermeasures.
【作者单位】：南京林业大学经济管理学院;江苏食品药品职业技术学院;
【基金】：江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学基金项目“基于ELES模型的苏北农村居民家庭生活消费结构分析”(2015SJB727)
【分类号】：F323.8

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