国家扶贫开发工作重点县政策:驱动增长、缩小差距,还是政策失灵——基于PSM-DID方法的研究

发布时间：2018-06-09 17:51

  本文选题：国家扶贫开发工作重点县 + 经济增长　； 参考：《经济问题探索》2016年12期

【摘要】：国家扶贫开发工作重点县作为区域扶贫开发的"政策试验田",是中国为推动地区平衡发展、实现共同富裕作出的重要战略安排,但其效果究竟如何仍需要验证。本文首次采用中国1992个县1999—2010年面板数据,使用双重差分倾向得分匹配法(PSM-DID)研究了扶贫开发重点县政策效果。本文发现,重点县的确立未能有效推动县域GDP及其人均GDP的快速增长,对缩小区域差距作用不显著,县域层面扶贫开发政策出现"失灵"。进一步研究显示,重点县政策对工业化等驱动因素产生挤出效应,并因产业结构差异等扩大了区域差距。这为国家区域扶贫开发制度的完善与其他相关政策的设立提供了启示。
[Abstract]:As a "policy experimental field" for regional poverty alleviation and development, the key counties of the state poverty alleviation and development work are the important strategic arrangements made by China to promote regional balanced development and realize common prosperity, but its effect still needs to be verified. In this paper, the panel data of 1992 counties in China from 1999 to 2010 are used for the first time to study the policy effect of poverty alleviation and development in key counties by using the method of double difference tendency score matching (PSM-DID). This paper finds that the establishment of key counties can not effectively promote the rapid growth of county GDP and its per capita GDP, and it does not play a significant role in narrowing the regional gap, and the policy of poverty alleviation and development at the county level is "out of order". The further research shows that the key county policy has extruding effect on the driving factors such as industrialization, and the regional gap has been enlarged because of the difference of industrial structure. This provides enlightenment for the improvement of national regional poverty alleviation and development system and the establishment of other relevant policies.
【作者单位】： 中南财经政法大学;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“现代农业政府支持体系评价与优化研究”(13BJY110),项目负责人:郑家喜 国家自然科学基金项目“生命周期、生计策略与农户贫困动态性研究”(71273281),项目负责人:吴海涛 湖北省人文社科重点研究基地WTO与湖北发展研究中心研究项目“新形势下湖北农村扶贫政策评估研究”(W2015016),项目负责人:江帆
【分类号】：F323.8
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本文编号：2000597