农村土地流转现状与影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-06-28 05:15

本文选题：农村土地流转 + 发展水平　；参考：《天津商业大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：土地改革作为关系我国6亿农民福祉的首要问题日益受到国家的重视,十八大召开之后出台的一些列土地改革相关政策,预示着土地改革进程的加快。土地流转作为土地改革中最重要的环节,受到政府以及研究人员的关注。目前国内外学者对我国土地流转进行了大量的研究,但是大多是从流转农户的微观角度出发进行实证分析,并且对于经济发展水平不同地区土地流转的比较大多集中在省内的比较分析,很少进行全国性统计分析。本文从宏观角度,对我国东部、中部各省份的土地流转现进行对比分析,并通过建立面板模型分别对东部地区和中部地区的影响因素进行了实证分析。通过对比我国东部地区和中部地区土地流转的发展现状,可以得出东部地区的土地流转比例相对较高,但是近几年发展速度较为缓慢。其中流转面积最大的三个省份是:江苏省、山东省和河北省,而流转总面积占总经营承包面积比例最高的省份三个省份则是:北京市、江苏省和浙江省。而中部地区土地流转总面积相对较大,土地流转占承包经营耕地面积的流转比例相对较低,但是土地流转的增长速度明显高于东部地区。其中中部省份流转总面积和流转面积占总承包面积比例最大的三个省份都是:河南省、安徽省和湖南省。对于农村土地流转的影响因素分析,本文分别采用理论分析和应用面板数据模型对影响我国东部、中部地区的因素进行实证分析。本文分别选取第一产业增加值、非农收入结构、农户土地经营投资、农业机械化水平、农村社会保障和农村人口老龄化程度六个因素进行实证分析。结果得出:对东部地区土地流转的具有显著影响的因素是第一产业增加值、农业机械化水平、农民非农收入水平和农村人口老龄化程度,并且各因素对东部地区土地流转的影响均为正向影响。对中部地区土地流转的具有显著影响的因素有第一产业总价值、农业机械化水平、农民非农收入水平、农户生产经营投入和农村人口老龄化程度,除去第一产业增加值对中部地区土地流转的影响为负之外,其他个影响因素对中部地区对土地流转的影响为正。东部和中部地区,老龄化程度越高的省份,土地流转市场发育越好;农户非农收入结构越高、农业机械化水平较高,对土地流转的促进作用越大。并且,东部地区的单位耕地面积第一产业增加值越高,对土地流转是促进作用,而中部地区则是,单位耕地面积第一产业增加值越低的地区,土地流转市场越活跃。在中部地区,农户经营投资越大的地区,土地流转越活跃。最后在分析结果的基础上提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Land reform, as the most important issue related to the welfare of 600 million farmers in China, has been paid more and more attention by the state. Some policies related to land reform issued after the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) indicate that the process of land reform is speeding up. As the most important link in land reform, land circulation has been concerned by the government and researchers. At present, scholars at home and abroad have carried out a lot of research on land circulation in China, but most of them are empirical analysis from the micro perspective of farmers. And the comparison of land circulation in different areas with different levels of economic development is mostly concentrated in the comparative analysis within the province, and few national statistical analysis is carried out. From the macro point of view, this paper makes a comparative analysis of the land circulation in the eastern and central provinces of China, and makes an empirical analysis of the influencing factors in the eastern region and the central region through the establishment of panel model. By comparing the present situation of land circulation in eastern China and central China, it can be concluded that the proportion of land circulation in eastern China is relatively high, but the speed of development is slow in recent years. The three provinces with the largest circulation area are Jiangsu Province, Shandong Province and Hebei Province, while the top three provinces with the highest proportion of total operating area are Beijing, Jiangsu and Zhejiang. The total area of land circulation in the central region is relatively large, and the proportion of land circulation to the area of contracted cultivated land is relatively low, but the growth rate of land circulation is obviously higher than that of the eastern region. The three provinces with the largest proportion of total contracted area and total circulation area in the central provinces are Henan Province, Anhui Province and Hunan Province. For the analysis of the influencing factors of rural land circulation, this paper uses theoretical analysis and panel data model to analyze the factors affecting the eastern and central areas of China. In this paper, six factors, namely, the added value of primary industry, the structure of non-agricultural income, the land management investment of farmers, the level of agricultural mechanization, the rural social security and the aging degree of the rural population, are selected for empirical analysis. The results show that the factors that have significant influence on the land circulation in the eastern region are the added value of the primary industry, the level of agricultural mechanization, the level of farmers' non-agricultural income and the aging degree of the rural population. And each factor to the eastern area land circulation influence is the positive influence. The factors that have significant influence on the land circulation in the central region are the total value of the primary industry, the level of agricultural mechanization, the level of farmers' non-agricultural income, the input of farmers' production and management and the degree of the aging of the rural population. In addition to the negative effect of the added value of the primary industry on the land circulation in the central region, the influence of other factors on the land circulation in the central region is positive. In the eastern and central regions, the higher the aging degree of the provinces, the better the development of land circulation market; the higher the structure of non-agricultural income of farmers, the higher the level of agricultural mechanization, the greater the promotion of land circulation. Moreover, the higher the added value of the primary industry per unit cultivated land area in the eastern region is, the more active the land circulation market is in the central region where the added value of the first industry per unit cultivated land area is lower. In the central region, the greater the investment of farmers, the more active land circulation. Finally, based on the analysis of the results, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：天津商业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F321.1

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