农产品主产区居民生活质量评估与政策调控研究——以吉林省德惠市为例

发布时间：2018-06-28 22:48

本文选题：居民生活质量 + 评估　；参考：《农业现代化研究》2017年02期

【摘要】：农产品主产区是中国主体功能区规划中保障农产品供给安全的重要区域,维护该区域城乡居民生活质量稳步提升是主体功能区政策制定的重要着眼点之一。以吉林省德惠市为案例区,基于Vensim系统构建反映农产品主产区居民生活质量及主要影响要素关系的系统动力学模型,并通过调整财政转移支付、人口转移及农业补贴等方面的参数,模拟了单项政策变化对居民生活质量的影响程度及作用方向。结果显示,基准情景下德惠市和吉林省居民生活质量分别由研究初期的5.8和8.5提高到研究期末的30.9和41.6,居民生活质量差距持续存在,通过调整财政参数、人口参数和农业参数德惠市居民生活质量在2025年最优仿真值可达到43.2、43.1和31.8,表明财政政策和人口政策能够实现德惠市居民生活质量赶超吉林省平均水平,而单纯依托农业补贴政策助推居民生活质量的效果非常有限。因此,提出加大财政转移支付力度、加速人口城镇化进程、健全农产品主产区利益补偿机制是提高居民生活质量的有效策略。
[Abstract]:The main production area of agricultural products is an important area in the planning of main functional areas in China to ensure the security of agricultural products supply. Maintaining the steady improvement of the quality of life of urban and rural residents in this area is one of the important points of policy formulation in the main function areas. Taking Dehui City of Jilin Province as a case study, based on Vensim system, a system dynamic model is constructed to reflect the quality of life and the relationship between the main factors of agricultural products, and the financial transfer payment is adjusted. The parameters of population transfer and agricultural subsidy were used to simulate the influence of individual policy changes on the quality of life of residents. The results show that the quality of life of residents in Dehui City and Jilin Province has increased from 5.8 and 8.5 at the beginning of the study to 30.9 and 41.6 at the end of the study period, respectively. The gap between the residents' quality of life has persisted and the financial parameters have been adjusted. The optimum simulation values of population parameters and agricultural parameters in Dehui City in 2025 can reach 43.2% 43.1 and 31.8 respectively, which indicates that fiscal policy and population policy can catch up with the average quality of life of residents in Dehui City and surpass the average level of Jilin Province. And relying solely on the policy of agricultural subsidies to promote the quality of life of residents is very limited. Therefore, it is suggested that increasing the financial transfer payment, speeding up the process of population urbanization and perfecting the interest compensation mechanism in the main agricultural products producing areas are effective strategies to improve the quality of life of the residents.
【作者单位】：中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41301111) 中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所“一三五”规划课题(Y6H2091001-3)~~
【分类号】：F323.8

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