棉花补贴政策下新疆棉花生产波动研究
发布时间：2018-11-21 15:18
【摘要】：经过几十年的发展,新疆充分利用优越的自然条件,成为了中国重要的棉花生产基地,为稳定中国棉花生产、保障国家棉花安全作出了重要贡献。2014年,新疆棉花播种面积达1953.3千公顷,环比增长13.8%,占当年中国棉花种植面积4219.10千公顷的46.3%;新疆棉花总产量达到历史最高,为367.70万吨,环比增长4.52%,占中国棉花总产量616.10万吨的59.68%。为稳定新疆棉花生产、提高棉农收益、保障国家棉花安全,2014年国家在新疆开展棉花目标价格补贴试点。本文运用相关波动理论,通过统计描述法对新疆棉花生产概况进行了分析,概括了新疆棉花生产的种植面积、单产及总产量的波动情况,并利用剩余法对2000~2014年新疆棉花总产量的波动情况进行了测算,分析了进入新世纪后新疆棉花总产量波动的周期。接着,本文对建国以来棉花流通体制的变迁进行了分阶段描述,并分析了相应的棉花补贴政策。我国的棉花目标价格补贴政策来源于美国反周期补贴政策,因此在第4章中对美国的棉花补贴政策进行了论述。最后,分析了新疆试点棉花目标价格补贴的现实背景和政策背景,对政策的影响进行了分析,并提出了对策建议。
[Abstract]:After decades of development, Xinjiang has made full use of its superior natural conditions and become an important cotton production base in China. It has made important contributions to stabilizing China's cotton production and ensuring the country's cotton security. In 2014, The planting area of cotton in Xinjiang reached 1953.3 million hectares, an increase of 13.8 hectares, accounting for 46.3 hectares of the total cotton planting area of 4219.10 million hectares in that year in China. The total cotton output in Xinjiang reached the highest level in history, at 3.677 million tons, an increase of 4.52 percent, accounting for 59.68 percent of the total cotton output of 6.161 million tons in China. In order to stabilize cotton production in Xinjiang, improve the income of cotton farmers and ensure the national cotton security, the state launched a pilot cotton target price subsidy in Xinjiang in 2014. In this paper, the general situation of cotton production in Xinjiang is analyzed by using the theory of relative fluctuation, and the fluctuation of planting area, unit yield and total yield of cotton production in Xinjiang is summarized. The fluctuation of total cotton yield in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2014 was measured by residual method, and the period of total cotton yield fluctuation in Xinjiang after entering the new century was analyzed. Then, this paper describes the changes of cotton circulation system in stages and analyzes the corresponding cotton subsidy policy since the founding of the people's Republic of China. The cotton target price subsidy policy of our country comes from the countercyclical subsidy policy of the United States, so the cotton subsidy policy of the United States is discussed in Chapter 4. Finally, the paper analyzes the realistic background and policy background of cotton target price subsidy in Xinjiang pilot, analyzes the influence of the policy, and puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：新疆农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F326.12
[Abstract]:After decades of development, Xinjiang has made full use of its superior natural conditions and become an important cotton production base in China. It has made important contributions to stabilizing China's cotton production and ensuring the country's cotton security. In 2014, The planting area of cotton in Xinjiang reached 1953.3 million hectares, an increase of 13.8 hectares, accounting for 46.3 hectares of the total cotton planting area of 4219.10 million hectares in that year in China. The total cotton output in Xinjiang reached the highest level in history, at 3.677 million tons, an increase of 4.52 percent, accounting for 59.68 percent of the total cotton output of 6.161 million tons in China. In order to stabilize cotton production in Xinjiang, improve the income of cotton farmers and ensure the national cotton security, the state launched a pilot cotton target price subsidy in Xinjiang in 2014. In this paper, the general situation of cotton production in Xinjiang is analyzed by using the theory of relative fluctuation, and the fluctuation of planting area, unit yield and total yield of cotton production in Xinjiang is summarized. The fluctuation of total cotton yield in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2014 was measured by residual method, and the period of total cotton yield fluctuation in Xinjiang after entering the new century was analyzed. Then, this paper describes the changes of cotton circulation system in stages and analyzes the corresponding cotton subsidy policy since the founding of the people's Republic of China. The cotton target price subsidy policy of our country comes from the countercyclical subsidy policy of the United States, so the cotton subsidy policy of the United States is discussed in Chapter 4. Finally, the paper analyzes the realistic background and policy background of cotton target price subsidy in Xinjiang pilot, analyzes the influence of the policy, and puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：新疆农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F326.12
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 何梁;刘维忠;;关于新疆试点棉花目标价格的思考[J];农村经济与科技;2015年02期
2 狄升;;对棉花目标价格补贴的初步认识[J];农业发展与金融;2014年08期
3 毛树春;;关于新疆棉花目标价格补贴的问题、意见和建议[J];中国棉麻流通经济;2014年03期
4 刘迪生;;新疆实行棉花目标价格补贴试点的影响与建议[J];价格与市场;2014年05期
5 郑兆山;郑U，
本文编号：2347360
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/nongyejingjilunwen/2347360.html
