武威市凉州区影响农户对现代农业技术需求的因素分析

发布时间：2018-12-18 17:47

【摘要】：现代农业技术是农业产量和品质提高的引擎,是农民收入进一步提高的源泉。甘肃省武威市凉州区以农业为主要产业,但近年来农民的经济收入增长乏力。为推动当地农业经济发展,以期找出应对措施,本论文调查了该区河东村、王庄村等9个行政村的450个村民对现代农业技术推广需求的状况,采用Logistic回归模型分析了主要决定因素。主要获得如下主要结果:1、共回收问卷433份,回收率96.22%,所有回收问卷中有效问卷共有413份,样本的有效回收率为91.78%。男性占调查对象的77%,女性占23%;已婚人员占比为81.36%,未婚人员仅占18.64%;25岁以下、26-35岁之间、36-45岁和46岁以上的人数分别占9.2%、16.22%、29.3%和45.28%;高中以及以上文化、初中文化、小学文化、文盲和半文盲占比分别为14.77%、32.93%、39%和13.08%;农户家庭人口在5人以上、3-5人和3人以下的分别占46.97%、42.62%和10.41%。2、在调查农户中,34.87%的农户需求畜牧养殖技术,9.93%农户需求新品种,32.69%的农户需求农作物栽培技术,19.61%的农户需求植物保护技术,4.84%的农户满足目前已掌握的技术。3、在农户自身特性、在技术诱导因素、风险因素和信息来源4类15个因素的Logistic分析中,农户自身特性中年龄和身体状况2个指标,在技术诱导因素中耕地面积、收入水平和养殖规模3个指标,在风险因素中复种指数1个指标均与对现代农业技术的需求呈显著正相关(P0.05),而以上三类中的性别、教育程度、婚姻状况、非农劳动力比例、养殖种类,以及信息来源中农业电视节目等4个指标均无明显相关性。建议加强农村医疗服务,增强劳动力体质,促进土地流转,增大生产规模等方式推动当地农户掌握和应用现代农业技术的积极性与主动性。
[Abstract]:Modern agricultural technology is the engine of improving agricultural output and quality, and the source of further improvement of farmers' income. Agriculture is the main industry in Liangzhou District, Wuwei City, Gansu Province. In order to promote the development of local agricultural economy and find out the countermeasures, this paper investigates the demand of 450 villagers in 9 administrative villages, such as Hedong Village and Wangzhuang Village, for the extension of modern agricultural technology. The main determinants were analyzed by Logistic regression model. The main results are as follows: 1. 433 questionnaires were collected and the recovery rate was 96.222.There were 413 valid questionnaires and the effective recovery rate of the samples was 91.78. The proportion of married persons was 81.36, and that of unmarried persons was 18.64. The number of people under 25 years old, 26-35 years old, 36-45 years old and over 46 years old accounted for 9.2% and 45.28% respectively; The percentages of high school and above culture, junior middle school culture, primary school culture, illiteracy and semi-illiteracy were 14.7772.93% and 13.08% respectively. The household population was above 5, 46.97% and 10.41%, respectively, with 3-5 and less than 3. 34.87% of the households were in need of livestock farming technology, and 9.93% of the farmers needed new varieties, while the population of farmers was more than 5, and that of those with less than 3 was 46.97% and 10.41%, respectively. 32.69% of farmers need crop cultivation techniques, 19.61% of farmers need plant protection techniques, 4.84% of farmers meet the needs of the techniques they have mastered. 3. In the Logistic analysis of 15 factors of 4 categories of risk factors and information sources, there were two indexes of age and physical condition of farmers' own characteristics, and three indexes of cultivated land area, income level and scale of farming among the factors of technology inducement. Among the risk factors, one index of multiple cropping was positively correlated with the demand for modern agricultural technology (P0.05), while the gender, education level, marital status, non-farm labor force ratio, and breed type in the above three groups were significantly positive (P0.05). There was no significant correlation among the four indicators of agricultural TV programs. It is suggested to strengthen the rural medical service, strengthen the constitution of the labor force, promote the circulation of land, increase the scale of production, and promote the enthusiasm and initiative of local farmers in mastering and applying modern agricultural technology.
【学位授予单位】：兰州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F323.3

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